SF Qatar Open 2026

Carlos Alcaraz #1 def. Andrey Rublev #14

7-6(3) 6-4

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Andrey Rublev 7-6(3) 6-4 in the 2026 Qatar Open semifinal on hard courts on February 20, 2026.

Match Information

Match Statistics

StatCarlos AlcarazAndrey Rublev
Serving
AcesServes that land in and are not touched by the returner.
31
Double faultsService points lost by missing both first and second serve.
21
First serve %Percentage of service points where the first serve landed in.
68.0%60.0%
First serve points won %Percentage of points won after making a first serve.
62.0%63.0%
Second serve points won %Percentage of second-serve points won, including points lost through double faults.
48.0%42.0%
Break points saved %Percentage of break points won by the server.
69.0%60.0%
Service points won %Percentage of all points won while serving.
57.0%55.0%
Returning
Break points converted %Percentage of break-point chances won by the returner.
40.0%31.0%
Return points won %Percentage of all points won while returning.
45.0%43.0%
Overall
Total points won %Percentage of all completed points won.
52.0%48.0%
Match Serve+This match’s service points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
-7.5-9.5
Match Return+This match’s return points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+9.5+7.5

* Match Serve+ and Match Return+ compare this match with the ATP 2026 average from available match stats. Zero is average; +5 means five percentage points above average. No opponent adjustment.

Win Probability

How the market's view of each player's chances changed through the match.

Source: Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Focus the chart and use the left and right arrow keys to inspect probability updates.

Player Comparison

FieldCarlos AlcarazAndrey Rublev
Country ESP RUS
Birth dateMay 5, 2003Oct 20, 1997
Age2228
Height183 cm188 cm
HandednessRight-HandedRight-Handed
Backhand styleTwo-Handed BackhandTwo-Handed Backhand
Ranking (entering)114
Ranking points (entering)13,1502,510
Elo (entering)2,3961,897
Current career W-L299–69382–220
Current career earnings$66,033,826$34,399,267
Pre-match H2H
Carlos Alcaraz #1 4 – 1 Andrey Rublev #14

Path

Carlos Alcaraz's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Karen Khachanov #176-7(3) 6-4 6-3WH2HMatch dataFeb 19, 2026QF
Valentin Royer #606-2 7-5WH2HMatch dataFeb 18, 2026R16
Arthur Rinderknech #306-4 7-6(5)WH2HMatch dataFeb 17, 2026R32

Carlos Alcaraz's next match

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Arthur Fils #406-2 6-1WH2HMatch dataFeb 21, 2026F

Andrey Rublev's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Stefanos Tsitsipas #336-3 7-6(2)WH2HMatch dataFeb 19, 2026QF
Fabian Marozsan #486-2 6-4WH2HMatch dataFeb 18, 2026R16
Jesper de Jong #866-4 6-3WH2HMatch dataFeb 17, 2026R32