Pablo Carreno Busta def. Denis Shapovalov
6-2 6-4
Pablo Carreno Busta defeated Denis Shapovalov 6-2 6-4 in the 2026 Dubai Tennis Championships first round on hard courts on February 24, 2026.
Match Information
Match Statistics
| Stat | Pablo Carreno Busta | Denis Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Serving | ||
AcesServes that land in and are not touched by the returner. | 0 | 8 |
Double faultsService points lost by missing both first and second serve. | 2 | 4 |
First serve %Percentage of service points where the first serve landed in. | 69.0% | 54.0% |
First serve points won %Percentage of points won after making a first serve. | 61.0% | 62.0% |
Second serve points won %Percentage of second-serve points won, including points lost through double faults. | 60.0% | 36.0% |
Break points saved %Percentage of break points won by the server. | 78.0% | 44.0% |
Service points won %Percentage of all points won while serving. | 61.0% | 50.0% |
| Returning | ||
Break points converted %Percentage of break-point chances won by the returner. | 56.0% | 22.0% |
Return points won %Percentage of all points won while returning. | 50.0% | 39.0% |
| Overall | ||
Total points won %Percentage of all completed points won. | 56.0% | 44.0% |
Match Serve+This match’s service points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment. | -3.5 | -14.5 |
Match Return+This match’s return points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment. | +14.5 | +3.5 |
* Match Serve+ and Match Return+ compare this match with the ATP 2026 average from available match stats. Zero is average; +5 means five percentage points above average. No opponent adjustment.
Win Probability
How the market's view of each player's chances changed through the match.
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Player Comparison
| Field | Pablo Carreno Busta | Denis Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Country | ESP | CAN |
| Birth date | Jul 12, 1991 | Apr 15, 1999 |
| Age | 34 | 26 |
| Height | 188 cm | 185 cm |
| Handedness | Right-Handed | Left-Handed |
| Backhand style | Two-Handed Backhand | One-Handed Backhand |
| Ranking (entering) | 124 | 36 |
| Ranking points (entering) | 516 | 1,350 |
| Elo (entering) | 1,697 | 1,795 |
| Current career W-L | 286–241 | 236–196 |
| Current career earnings | $18,094,300 | $15,875,500 |
Path
Pablo Carreno Busta's path
| Opponent | Score | W-L | H2H | Match Data | Date | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luca Nardi | 6-7(4) 6-4 7-6(5) | W | H2H | Match data | Feb 22, 2026 | Q2 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | 6-3 6-2 | W | H2H | Match data | Feb 21, 2026 | Q1 |
Pablo Carreno Busta's next match
| Opponent | Score | W-L | H2H | Match Data | Date | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jiri Lehecka | 6-7(6) 4-6 | L | H2H | Match data | Feb 25, 2026 | R16 |
Denis Shapovalov's path
No prior matches in this tournament.