R32 Mexican Open 2026

Brandon Nakashima #29 def. Elias Ymer #190

6-3 6-4

Brandon Nakashima defeated Elias Ymer 6-3 6-4 in the 2026 Mexican Open first round on hard courts on February 23, 2026.

Match Information

Match Statistics

StatBrandon NakashimaElias Ymer
Serving
AcesServes that land in and are not touched by the returner.
57
Double faultsService points lost by missing both first and second serve.
10
First serve %Percentage of service points where the first serve landed in.
64.0%73.0%
First serve points won %Percentage of points won after making a first serve.
80.0%68.0%
Second serve points won %Percentage of second-serve points won, including points lost through double faults.
65.0%64.0%
Break points saved %Percentage of break points won by the server.
100.0%60.0%
Service points won %Percentage of all points won while serving.
75.0%67.0%
Returning
Break points converted %Percentage of break-point chances won by the returner.
40.0%0.0%
Return points won %Percentage of all points won while returning.
33.0%25.0%
Overall
Total points won %Percentage of all completed points won.
54.0%46.0%
Match Serve+This match’s service points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+10.5+2.5
Match Return+This match’s return points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
-2.5-10.5

* Match Serve+ and Match Return+ compare this match with the ATP 2026 average from available match stats. Zero is average; +5 means five percentage points above average. No opponent adjustment.

Win Probability

How the market's view of each player's chances changed through the match.

Source: Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Focus the chart and use the left and right arrow keys to inspect probability updates.

Player Comparison

FieldBrandon NakashimaElias Ymer
Country USA SWE
Birth dateAug 3, 2001Apr 10, 1996
Age2429
Height188 cm185 cm
HandednessRight-HandedRight-Handed
Backhand styleTwo-Handed Backhand—
Ranking (entering)29190
Ranking points (entering)1,535328
Elo (entering)1,7921,625
Current career W-L152–12729–68
Current career earnings$9,373,615$2,525,398
Pre-match H2H
Brandon Nakashima #29 0 – 0 Elias Ymer #190

Path

Brandon Nakashima's path

No prior matches in this tournament.

Brandon Nakashima's next match

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Patrick Kypson #1036-4 6-4WH2HMatch dataFeb 25, 2026R16

Elias Ymer's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Nicolas Mejia #1816-4 6-4WH2HMatch dataFeb 23, 2026Q2
Mackenzie McDonald #1167-6(7) 4-6 6-4WH2HMatch dataFeb 21, 2026Q1