R128 Indian Wells Open 2026

Mackenzie McDonald #126 def. Matteo Arnaldi #85

6-0 6-1

Mackenzie McDonald defeated Matteo Arnaldi 6-0 6-1 in the 2026 Indian Wells Open first round on hard courts on March 5, 2026.

Match Information

Match Statistics

StatMackenzie McDonaldMatteo Arnaldi
Serving
AcesServes that land in and are not touched by the returner.
22
Double faultsService points lost by missing both first and second serve.
05
First serve %Percentage of service points where the first serve landed in.
53.0%41.0%
First serve points won %Percentage of points won after making a first serve.
67.0%43.0%
Second serve points won %Percentage of second-serve points won, including points lost through double faults.
67.0%35.0%
Break points saved %Percentage of break points won by the server.
100.0%29.0%
Service points won %Percentage of all points won while serving.
67.0%38.0%
Returning
Break points converted %Percentage of break-point chances won by the returner.
71.0%0.0%
Return points won %Percentage of all points won while returning.
62.0%33.0%
Overall
Total points won %Percentage of all completed points won.
65.0%35.0%
Match Serve+This match’s service points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+2.5-26.5
Match Return+This match’s return points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+26.5-2.5

* Match Serve+ and Match Return+ compare this match with the ATP 2026 average from available match stats. Zero is average; +5 means five percentage points above average. No opponent adjustment.

Win Probability

How the market's view of each player's chances changed through the match.

Source: Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

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Player Comparison

FieldMackenzie McDonaldMatteo Arnaldi
Country USA ITA
Birth dateApr 16, 1995Feb 22, 2001
Age3025
Height178 cm185 cm
HandednessRight-HandedRight-Handed
Backhand style—Two-Handed Backhand
Ranking (entering)12685
Ranking points (entering)498665
Elo (entering)1,6311,714
Current career W-L113–14875–80
Current career earnings$7,407,341$6,235,632
Pre-match H2H

Path

Mackenzie McDonald's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Trevor Svajda #3966-4 6-2WH2HMatch dataMar 3, 2026Q2
Vitaliy Sachko #1886-2 6-1WH2HMatch dataMar 2, 2026Q1

Mackenzie McDonald's next match

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Cameron Norrie #292-6 3-6LH2HMatch dataMar 7, 2026R64

Matteo Arnaldi's path

No prior matches in this tournament.