Daniil Medvedev #11 def. Alex Michelsen #44

6-2 6-4

Daniil Medvedev defeated Alex Michelsen 6-2 6-4 in the 2026 Indian Wells Open fourth round on hard courts on March 11, 2026.

Match Information

Match Statistics

StatDaniil MedvedevAlex Michelsen
Serving
AcesServes that land in and are not touched by the returner.
91
Double faultsService points lost by missing both first and second serve.
21
First serve %Percentage of service points where the first serve landed in.
77.0%66.0%
First serve points won %Percentage of points won after making a first serve.
71.0%54.0%
Second serve points won %Percentage of second-serve points won, including points lost through double faults.
40.0%45.0%
Break points saved %Percentage of break points won by the server.
80.0%60.0%
Service points won %Percentage of all points won while serving.
64.0%51.0%
Returning
Break points converted %Percentage of break-point chances won by the returner.
40.0%20.0%
Return points won %Percentage of all points won while returning.
49.0%36.0%
Overall
Total points won %Percentage of all completed points won.
57.0%43.0%
Match Serve+This match’s service points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
-0.5-13.5
Match Return+This match’s return points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+13.5+0.5

* Match Serve+ and Match Return+ compare this match with the ATP 2026 average from available match stats. Zero is average; +5 means five percentage points above average. No opponent adjustment.

Win Probability

How the market's view of each player's chances changed through the match.

Source: Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Focus the chart and use the left and right arrow keys to inspect probability updates.

Player Comparison

FieldDaniil MedvedevAlex Michelsen
Country RUS USA
Birth dateFeb 11, 1996Aug 25, 2004
Age3021
Height198 cm193 cm
HandednessRight-HandedRight-Handed
Backhand styleTwo-Handed BackhandTwo-Handed Backhand
Ranking (entering)1144
Ranking points (entering)3,3601,085
Elo (entering)2,0241,829
Current career W-L447–19089–80
Current career earnings$52,943,635$5,752,923
Pre-match H2H

Path

Daniil Medvedev's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Sebastian Baez #536-4 6-0WH2HMatch dataMar 9, 2026R32
Alejandro Tabilo #406-4 6-2WH2HMatch dataMar 7, 2026R64

Daniil Medvedev's next match

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Jack Draper #146-1 7-5WH2HMatch dataMar 13, 2026QF

Alex Michelsen's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Taylor Fritz #76-4 7-6(6)WH2HMatch dataMar 9, 2026R32
Ugo Humbert #347-5 6-7(5) 7-6(6)WH2HMatch dataMar 8, 2026R64
Daniel Merida #1396-3 6-4WH2HMatch dataMar 5, 2026R128