Tomas Machac #35 def. Tommy Paul #21

2-6 6-3 6-3

Tomas Machac defeated Tommy Paul 2-6 6-3 6-3 in the 2026 Adelaide International semifinal on hard courts on January 16, 2026.

Match Information

Match Statistics

StatTomas MachacTommy Paul
Serving
AcesServes that land in and are not touched by the returner.
83
Double faultsService points lost by missing both first and second serve.
20
First serve %Percentage of service points where the first serve landed in.
61.0%60.0%
First serve points won %Percentage of points won after making a first serve.
78.0%63.0%
Second serve points won %Percentage of second-serve points won, including points lost through double faults.
42.0%55.0%
Break points saved %Percentage of break points won by the server.
50.0%63.0%
Service points won %Percentage of all points won while serving.
64.0%60.0%
Returning
Break points converted %Percentage of break-point chances won by the returner.
38.0%50.0%
Return points won %Percentage of all points won while returning.
40.0%36.0%
Overall
Total points won %Percentage of all completed points won.
52.0%48.0%
Match Serve+This match’s service points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
-0.5-4.5
Match Return+This match’s return points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+4.5+0.5

* Match Serve+ and Match Return+ compare this match with the ATP 2026 average from available match stats. Zero is average; +5 means five percentage points above average. No opponent adjustment.

Win Probability

How the market's view of each player's chances changed through the match.

Source: Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Focus the chart and use the left and right arrow keys to inspect probability updates.

Player Comparison

FieldTomas MachacTommy Paul
Country CZE USA
Birth dateOct 13, 2000May 17, 1997
Age2528
Height183 cm185 cm
HandednessRight-HandedRight-Handed
Backhand styleTwo-Handed BackhandTwo-Handed Backhand
Ranking (entering)3521
Ranking points (entering)1,3602,000
Elo (entering)1,8121,945
Current career W-L78–70240–154
Current career earnings$6,963,129$15,628,263
Pre-match H2H
Tomas Machac #35 2 – 1 Tommy Paul #21

Path

Tomas Machac's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Jaume Munar #386-4 6-4WH2HMatch dataJan 15, 2026QF
Quentin Halys #856-4 6-2WH2HMatch dataJan 14, 2026R16
James Duckworth #866-3 6-3WH2HMatch dataJan 13, 2026R32

Tomas Machac's next match

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Ugo Humbert #366-4 6-7(2) 6-2WH2HMatch dataJan 17, 2026F

Tommy Paul's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Aleksandar Vukic #876-3 6-2WH2HMatch dataJan 15, 2026QF
Reilly Opelka #626-4 6-4WH2HMatch dataJan 14, 2026R16