R32 Italian Open 2026

Rafael Jodar #34 def. Matteo Arnaldi #106

6-1 4-6 6-3

Rafael Jodar defeated Matteo Arnaldi 6-1 4-6 6-3 in the 2026 Italian Open third round on clay courts on May 10, 2026.

Match Information

Match Statistics

StatRafael JodarMatteo Arnaldi
Serving
AcesServes that land in and are not touched by the returner.
13
Double faultsService points lost by missing both first and second serve.
53
First serve %Percentage of service points where the first serve landed in.
65.0%61.0%
First serve points won %Percentage of points won after making a first serve.
61.0%55.0%
Second serve points won %Percentage of second-serve points won, including points lost through double faults.
58.0%42.0%
Break points saved %Percentage of break points won by the server.
20.0%30.0%
Service points won %Percentage of all points won while serving.
60.0%50.0%
Returning
Break points converted %Percentage of break-point chances won by the returner.
70.0%80.0%
Return points won %Percentage of all points won while returning.
50.0%40.0%
Overall
Total points won %Percentage of all completed points won.
55.0%45.0%
Match Serve+This match’s service points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
-4.5-14.5
Match Return+This match’s return points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+14.5+4.5

* Match Serve+ and Match Return+ compare this match with the ATP 2026 average from available match stats. Zero is average; +5 means five percentage points above average. No opponent adjustment.

Win Probability

How the market's view of each player's chances changed through the match.

Source: Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Focus the chart and use the left and right arrow keys to inspect probability updates.

Player Comparison

FieldRafael JodarMatteo Arnaldi
Country ESP ITA
Birth dateSep 17, 2006Feb 22, 2001
Age1925
Height191 cm185 cm
HandednessRight-HandedRight-Handed
Backhand styleTwo-Handed BackhandTwo-Handed Backhand
Ranking (entering)34106
Ranking points (entering)1,273596
Elo (entering)1,8621,670
Current career W-L41–1675–80
Current career earnings$2,387,281$6,235,632
Pre-match H2H
Rafael Jodar #34 0 – 0 Matteo Arnaldi #106

Path

Rafael Jodar's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Nuno Borges #527-6(4) 6-4WH2HMatch dataMay 9, 2026R64

Rafael Jodar's next match

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Learner Tien #216-1 6-4WH2HMatch dataMay 12, 2026R16

Matteo Arnaldi's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Alex de Minaur #84-6 7-6(5) 6-4WH2HMatch dataMay 9, 2026R64
Jaume Munar #386-3 3-6 6-3WH2HMatch dataMay 6, 2026R128