QF Italian Open 2026

Jannik Sinner #1 def. Andrey Rublev #14

6-2 6-4

Jannik Sinner defeated Andrey Rublev 6-2 6-4 in the 2026 Italian Open quarterfinal on clay courts on May 14, 2026.

Match Information

Match Statistics

StatJannik SinnerAndrey Rublev
Serving
AcesServes that land in and are not touched by the returner.
41
Double faultsService points lost by missing both first and second serve.
20
First serve %Percentage of service points where the first serve landed in.
49.0%54.0%
First serve points won %Percentage of points won after making a first serve.
75.0%50.0%
Second serve points won %Percentage of second-serve points won, including points lost through double faults.
59.0%56.0%
Break points saved %Percentage of break points won by the server.
67.0%20.0%
Service points won %Percentage of all points won while serving.
67.0%53.0%
Returning
Break points converted %Percentage of break-point chances won by the returner.
80.0%33.0%
Return points won %Percentage of all points won while returning.
47.0%33.0%
Overall
Total points won %Percentage of all completed points won.
57.0%43.0%
Match Serve+This match’s service points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+2.5-11.5
Match Return+This match’s return points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+11.5-2.5

* Match Serve+ and Match Return+ compare this match with the ATP 2026 average from available match stats. Zero is average; +5 means five percentage points above average. No opponent adjustment.

Win Probability

How the market's view of each player's chances changed through the match.

Source: Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Focus the chart and use the left and right arrow keys to inspect probability updates.

Player Comparison

FieldJannik SinnerAndrey Rublev
Country ITA RUS
Birth dateAug 16, 2001Oct 20, 1997
Age2428
Height191 cm188 cm
HandednessRight-HandedRight-Handed
Backhand styleTwo-Handed BackhandTwo-Handed Backhand
Ranking (entering)114
Ranking points (entering)14,3502,590
Elo (entering)2,4121,894
Current career W-L351–92382–220
Current career earnings$69,543,958$34,399,267
Pre-match H2H
Jannik Sinner #1 7 – 3 Andrey Rublev #14

Path

Jannik Sinner's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Andrea Pellegrino #1556-2 6-3WH2HMatch dataMay 12, 2026R16
Alexei Popyrin #606-2 6-0WH2HMatch dataMay 11, 2026R32
Sebastian Ofner #826-3 6-4WH2HMatch dataMay 9, 2026R64

Jannik Sinner's next match

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Daniil Medvedev #96-2 5-7 6-4WH2HMatch dataMay 16, 2026SF

Andrey Rublev's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Nikoloz Basilashvili #1173-6 7-6(5) 6-2WH2HMatch dataMay 12, 2026R16
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina #236-4 6-4WH2HMatch dataMay 11, 2026R32