R16 Wimbledon 2026

Flavio Cobolli #10 def. Alex de Minaur #6

7-5 7-6(4) 6-3

Flavio Cobolli defeated Alex de Minaur 7-5 7-6(4) 6-3 in the 2026 Wimbledon fourth round on grass courts on July 6, 2026.

Match Information

Match Statistics

StatFlavio CobolliAlex de Minaur
Serving
AcesServes that land in and are not touched by the returner.
35
Double faultsService points lost by missing both first and second serve.
55
First serve %Percentage of service points where the first serve landed in.
66.0%64.0%
First serve points won %Percentage of points won after making a first serve.
77.0%65.0%
Second serve points won %Percentage of second-serve points won, including points lost through double faults.
33.0%39.0%
Break points saved %Percentage of break points won by the server.
43.0%67.0%
Service points won %Percentage of all points won while serving.
62.0%56.0%
Returning
Break points converted %Percentage of break-point chances won by the returner.
33.0%57.0%
Return points won %Percentage of all points won while returning.
44.0%38.0%
Overall
Total points won %Percentage of all completed points won.
52.0%48.0%
Match Serve+This match’s service points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
-2.5-8.5
Match Return+This match’s return points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+8.5+2.5

* Match Serve+ and Match Return+ compare this match with the ATP 2026 average from available match stats. Zero is average; +5 means five percentage points above average. No opponent adjustment.

Win Probability

How the market's view of each player's chances changed through the match.

Source: Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Focus the chart and use the left and right arrow keys to inspect probability updates.

Player Comparison

FieldFlavio CobolliAlex de Minaur
Country ITA AUS
Birth dateMay 6, 2002Feb 17, 1999
Age2427
Height183 cm183 cm
HandednessRight-HandedRight-Handed
Backhand styleTwo-Handed BackhandTwo-Handed Backhand
Ranking (entering)106
Ranking points (entering)3,4604,110
Elo (entering)1,9491,950
Current career W-L101–80311–179
Current career earnings$9,683,033$25,988,614
Pre-match H2H

Path

Flavio Cobolli's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Karen Khachanov #220-6 7-6(4) 6-7(5) 6-2 6-2WH2HMatch dataJul 4, 2026R32
James Duckworth #797-6(4) 3-6 7-6(3) 6-1WH2HMatch dataJul 2, 2026R64
Mariano Navone #381-6 7-6(5) 6-3 7-6(8)WH2HMatch dataJun 30, 2026R128

Flavio Cobolli's next match

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Arthur Fery #1144-6 6-7(4) 0-6LH2HMatch dataJul 8, 2026QF

Alex de Minaur's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Zachary Svajda #666-2 5-7 6-2 6-4WH2HMatch dataJul 4, 2026R32
Adrian Mannarino #406-3 6-2 6-2WH2HMatch dataJul 2, 2026R64
Roman Andres Burruchaga #657-6(5) 6-1 6-0WH2HMatch dataJun 30, 2026R128