QF Swedish Open 2026

Andrey Rublev #16 def. Sebastian Baez #56

6-1 6-2

Andrey Rublev defeated Sebastian Baez 6-1 6-2 in the 2026 Swedish Open quarterfinal on clay courts on July 17, 2026.

Match Information

Match Statistics

StatAndrey RublevSebastian Baez
Serving
AcesServes that land in and are not touched by the returner.
50
Double faultsService points lost by missing both first and second serve.
11
First serve %Percentage of service points where the first serve landed in.
60.0%62.0%
First serve points won %Percentage of points won after making a first serve.
77.0%50.0%
Second serve points won %Percentage of second-serve points won, including points lost through double faults.
71.0%47.0%
Break points saved %Percentage of break points won by the server.
100.0%50.0%
Service points won %Percentage of all points won while serving.
74.0%49.0%
Returning
Break points converted %Percentage of break-point chances won by the returner.
50.0%0.0%
Return points won %Percentage of all points won while returning.
51.0%26.0%
Overall
Total points won %Percentage of all completed points won.
63.0%38.0%
Match Serve+This match’s service points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+9.5-15.5
Match Return+This match’s return points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+15.5-9.5

* Match Serve+ and Match Return+ compare this match with the ATP 2026 average from available match stats. Zero is average; +5 means five percentage points above average. No opponent adjustment.

Win Probability

How the market's view of each player's chances changed through the match.

Source: Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Focus the chart and use the left and right arrow keys to inspect probability updates.

Player Comparison

FieldAndrey RublevSebastian Baez
Country RUS ARG
Birth dateOct 20, 1997Dec 28, 2000
Age2825
Height188 cm170 cm
HandednessRight-HandedRight-Handed
Backhand styleTwo-Handed BackhandTwo-Handed Backhand
Ranking (entering)1656
Ranking points (entering)2,230935
Elo (entering)1,8621,675
Current career W-L382–220125–129
Current career earnings$34,399,267$7,366,599
Pre-match H2H
Andrey Rublev #16 0 – 1 Sebastian Baez #56

Path

Andrey Rublev's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Andrea Pellegrino #1387-6(3) 6-7(7) 6-3WH2HMatch dataJul 16, 2026R16

Andrey Rublev's next match

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Alejandro Tabilo #316-4 4-6 6-4WH2HMatch dataJul 18, 2026SF

Sebastian Baez's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Jesper de Jong #736-4 6-2WH2HMatch dataJul 16, 2026R16
Max Dahlin 4-6 6-4 6-1WH2HMatch dataJul 14, 2026R32