R64 Cincinnati Open 2026

Andrey Rublev #18 def. Pablo Carreno Busta #72

7-6(5) 6-1

Andrey Rublev defeated Pablo Carreno Busta 7-6(5) 6-1 in the 2026 Cincinnati Open second round on hard courts on August 16, 2026.

Match Information

Match Statistics

StatAndrey RublevPablo Carreno Busta
Serving
AcesServes that land in and are not touched by the returner.
64
Double faultsService points lost by missing both first and second serve.
37
First serve %Percentage of service points where the first serve landed in.
57.0%56.0%
First serve points won %Percentage of points won after making a first serve.
85.0%67.0%
Second serve points won %Percentage of second-serve points won, including points lost through double faults.
40.0%42.0%
Break points saved %Percentage of break points won by the server.
50.0%0.0%
Service points won %Percentage of all points won while serving.
66.0%56.0%
Returning
Break points converted %Percentage of break-point chances won by the returner.
100.0%50.0%
Return points won %Percentage of all points won while returning.
44.0%34.0%
Overall
Total points won %Percentage of all completed points won.
54.0%46.0%
Match Serve+This match’s service points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+1.5-8.5
Match Return+This match’s return points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+8.5-1.5

* Match Serve+ and Match Return+ compare this match with the ATP 2026 average from available match stats. Zero is average; +5 means five percentage points above average. No opponent adjustment.

Win Probability

How the market's view of each player's chances changed through the match.

Source: Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

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Player Comparison

FieldAndrey RublevPablo Carreno Busta
Country RUS ESP
Birth dateOct 20, 1997Jul 12, 1991
Age2835
Height188 cm188 cm
HandednessRight-HandedRight-Handed
Backhand styleTwo-Handed BackhandTwo-Handed Backhand
Ranking (entering)1872
Ranking points (entering)2,230885
Elo (entering)1,8521,752
Current career W-L382–219284–240
Current career earnings$34,288,494$18,063,079
Pre-match H2H

Path

Andrey Rublev's path

No prior matches in this tournament.

Andrey Rublev's next match

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Nuno Borges #473-6 4-6LH2HMatch dataAug 18, 2026R32

Pablo Carreno Busta's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Tomas Machac #626-3 6-2WH2HMatch dataAug 14, 2026R128