QF Cincinnati Open 2026

Flavio Cobolli #10 def. Tommy Paul #24

2-6 6-3 6-4

Flavio Cobolli defeated Tommy Paul 2-6 6-3 6-4 in the 2026 Cincinnati Open quarterfinal on hard courts on August 20, 2026.

Match Information

Match Statistics

StatFlavio CobolliTommy Paul
Serving
AcesServes that land in and are not touched by the returner.
1012
Double faultsService points lost by missing both first and second serve.
13
First serve %Percentage of service points where the first serve landed in.
53.0%60.0%
First serve points won %Percentage of points won after making a first serve.
68.0%76.0%
Second serve points won %Percentage of second-serve points won, including points lost through double faults.
64.0%53.0%
Break points saved %Percentage of break points won by the server.
50.0%75.0%
Service points won %Percentage of all points won while serving.
66.0%67.0%
Returning
Break points converted %Percentage of break-point chances won by the returner.
25.0%50.0%
Return points won %Percentage of all points won while returning.
33.0%34.0%
Overall
Total points won %Percentage of all completed points won.
50.0%50.0%
Match Serve+This match’s service points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+1.5+2.5
Match Return+This match’s return points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
-2.5-1.5

* Match Serve+ and Match Return+ compare this match with the ATP 2026 average from available match stats. Zero is average; +5 means five percentage points above average. No opponent adjustment.

Win Probability

How the market's view of each player's chances changed through the match.

Source: Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Focus the chart and use the left and right arrow keys to inspect probability updates.

Player Comparison

FieldFlavio CobolliTommy Paul
Country ITA USA
Birth dateMay 6, 2002May 17, 1997
Age2429
Height183 cm185 cm
HandednessRight-HandedRight-Handed
Backhand styleTwo-Handed BackhandTwo-Handed Backhand
Ranking (entering)1024
Ranking points (entering)3,3302,075
Elo (entering)1,9251,955
Current career W-L101–79237–153
Current career earnings$9,683,033$15,611,498
Pre-match H2H
Flavio Cobolli #10 1 – 0 Tommy Paul #24

Path

Flavio Cobolli's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Rafael Jodar #114-6 7-6(3) 6-3WH2HMatch dataAug 19, 2026R16
Alexander Blockx #327-5 4-6 7-5WH2HMatch dataAug 17, 2026R32
Miomir Kecmanovic #666-1 4-6 6-3WH2HMatch dataAug 15, 2026R64

Flavio Cobolli's next match

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Arthur Fils #213-6 4-6LH2HMatch dataAug 22, 2026SF

Tommy Paul's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Alexander Zverev #34-6 7-6(6) 6-4WH2HMatch dataAug 19, 2026R16
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo #703-6 6-3 6-4WH2HMatch dataAug 17, 2026R32
Hubert Hurkacz #696-4 6-7(3) 6-3WH2HMatch dataAug 15, 2026R64