R32 China Open 2026

Juncheng Shang #250 def. Sebastian Baez #51

5-7 6-3 7-5

Juncheng Shang defeated Sebastian Baez 5-7 6-3 7-5 in the 2026 China Open first round on hard courts on October 1, 2026.

Match Information

Match Statistics

StatJuncheng ShangSebastian Baez
Serving
AcesServes that land in and are not touched by the returner.
33
Double faultsService points lost by missing both first and second serve.
23
First serve %Percentage of service points where the first serve landed in.
62.0%70.0%
First serve points won %Percentage of points won after making a first serve.
64.0%59.0%
Second serve points won %Percentage of second-serve points won, including points lost through double faults.
54.0%49.0%
Break points saved %Percentage of break points won by the server.
67.0%60.0%
Service points won %Percentage of all points won while serving.
60.0%56.0%
Returning
Break points converted %Percentage of break-point chances won by the returner.
40.0%33.0%
Return points won %Percentage of all points won while returning.
44.0%40.0%
Overall
Total points won %Percentage of all completed points won.
52.0%48.0%
Match Serve+This match’s service points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
-4.5-8.5
Match Return+This match’s return points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+8.5+4.5

* Match Serve+ and Match Return+ compare this match with the ATP 2026 average from available match stats. Zero is average; +5 means five percentage points above average. No opponent adjustment.

Win Probability

How the market's view of each player's chances changed through the match.

Source: Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Focus the chart and use the left and right arrow keys to inspect probability updates.

Player Comparison

FieldJuncheng ShangSebastian Baez
Country CHN ARG
Birth dateFeb 2, 2005Dec 28, 2000
Age2125
Height180 cm170 cm
HandednessLeft-HandedRight-Handed
Backhand style—Two-Handed Backhand
Ranking (entering)25051
Ranking points (entering)2201,044
Elo (entering)1,6981,680
Current career W-L41–48124–128
Current career earnings$2,771,991$7,336,648
Pre-match H2H
Juncheng Shang #250 0 – 0 Sebastian Baez #51

No prior-path match data is available for this tournament stage.