Daniil Medvedev def. Pablo Carreno Busta
6-4 6-2
Daniil Medvedev defeated Pablo Carreno Busta 6-4 6-2 in the 2026 China Open first round on hard courts on October 2, 2026.
Match Information
Match Statistics
| Stat | Daniil Medvedev | Pablo Carreno Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Serving | ||
AcesServes that land in and are not touched by the returner. | 12 | 1 |
Double faultsService points lost by missing both first and second serve. | 2 | 1 |
First serve %Percentage of service points where the first serve landed in. | 63.0% | 74.0% |
First serve points won %Percentage of points won after making a first serve. | 88.0% | 58.0% |
Second serve points won %Percentage of second-serve points won, including points lost through double faults. | 58.0% | 44.0% |
Break points saved %Percentage of break points won by the server. | 100.0% | 50.0% |
Service points won %Percentage of all points won while serving. | 76.0% | 54.0% |
| Returning | ||
Break points converted %Percentage of break-point chances won by the returner. | 50.0% | 0.0% |
Return points won %Percentage of all points won while returning. | 46.0% | 24.0% |
| Overall | ||
Total points won %Percentage of all completed points won. | 60.0% | 40.0% |
Match Serve+This match’s service points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment. | +11.5 | -10.5 |
Match Return+This match’s return points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment. | +10.5 | -11.5 |
* Match Serve+ and Match Return+ compare this match with the ATP 2026 average from available match stats. Zero is average; +5 means five percentage points above average. No opponent adjustment.
Win Probability
How the market's view of each player's chances changed through the match.
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Player Comparison
| Field | Daniil Medvedev | Pablo Carreno Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Country | RUS | ESP |
| Birth date | Feb 11, 1996 | Jul 12, 1991 |
| Age | 30 | 35 |
| Height | 198 cm | 188 cm |
| Handedness | Right-Handed | Right-Handed |
| Backhand style | Two-Handed Backhand | Two-Handed Backhand |
| Ranking (entering) | 6 | 66 |
| Ranking points (entering) | 3,860 | 859 |
| Elo (entering) | 1,929 | 1,731 |
| Current career W-L | 443–189 | 284–240 |
| Current career earnings | $52,949,468 | $18,063,079 |
Path
Daniil Medvedev's path
No prior matches in this tournament.
Daniil Medvedev's next match
| Opponent | Score | W-L | H2H | Match Data | Date | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan-Lennard Struff | 6-4 6-3 | W | H2H | Match data | Oct 3, 2026 | R16 |
Pablo Carreno Busta's path
| Opponent | Score | W-L | H2H | Match Data | Date | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Mannarino | 6-3 6-4 | W | H2H | Match data | Sep 29, 2026 | Q2 |
| Yi Zhou | 7-5 6-3 | W | H2H | Match data | Sep 28, 2026 | Q1 |