Alex de Minaur def. Andrey Rublev
1-6 6-2 6-3
Alex de Minaur defeated Andrey Rublev 1-6 6-2 6-3 in the 2026 China Open quarterfinal on hard courts on October 4, 2026.
Match Information
Match Statistics
| Stat | Alex de Minaur | Andrey Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Serving | ||
AcesServes that land in and are not touched by the returner. | 1 | 7 |
Double faultsService points lost by missing both first and second serve. | 1 | 2 |
First serve %Percentage of service points where the first serve landed in. | 68.0% | 62.0% |
First serve points won %Percentage of points won after making a first serve. | 68.0% | 67.0% |
Second serve points won %Percentage of second-serve points won, including points lost through double faults. | 52.0% | 43.0% |
Break points saved %Percentage of break points won by the server. | 75.0% | 64.0% |
Service points won %Percentage of all points won while serving. | 63.0% | 58.0% |
| Returning | ||
Break points converted %Percentage of break-point chances won by the returner. | 36.0% | 25.0% |
Return points won %Percentage of all points won while returning. | 42.0% | 37.0% |
| Overall | ||
Total points won %Percentage of all completed points won. | 53.0% | 47.0% |
Match Serve+This match’s service points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment. | -1.5 | -6.5 |
Match Return+This match’s return points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment. | +6.5 | +1.5 |
* Match Serve+ and Match Return+ compare this match with the ATP 2026 average from available match stats. Zero is average; +5 means five percentage points above average. No opponent adjustment.
Win Probability
How the market's view of each player's chances changed through the match.
Focus the chart and use the left and right arrow keys to inspect probability updates.
Player Comparison
| Field | Alex de Minaur | Andrey Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Country | AUS | RUS |
| Birth date | Feb 17, 1999 | Oct 20, 1997 |
| Age | 27 | 28 |
| Height | 183 cm | 188 cm |
| Handedness | Right-Handed | Right-Handed |
| Backhand style | Two-Handed Backhand | Two-Handed Backhand |
| Ranking (entering) | 10 | 24 |
| Ranking points (entering) | 3,150 | 2,085 |
| Elo (entering) | 1,910 | 1,871 |
| Current career W-L | 309–179 | 382–219 |
| Current career earnings | $25,988,614 | $34,288,494 |
Path
Alex de Minaur's path
| Opponent | Score | W-L | H2H | Match Data | Date | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quentin Halys | 3-6 7-6(5) 7-5 | W | H2H | Match data | Oct 3, 2026 | R16 |
| Mariano Navone | 7-6(4) 6-2 | W | H2H | Match data | Oct 1, 2026 | R32 |
Alex de Minaur's next match
| Opponent | Score | W-L | H2H | Match Data | Date | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hubert Hurkacz | 6-4 3-2 (ret.) | W | H2H | Match data | Oct 5, 2026 | SF |
Andrey Rublev's path
| Opponent | Score | W-L | H2H | Match Data | Date | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roman Safiullin | 6-2 3-6 6-4 | W | H2H | Match data | Oct 3, 2026 | R16 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | 6-4 5-7 7-6(6) | W | H2H | Match data | Oct 1, 2026 | R32 |