R128 Shanghai Masters 2026

Camilo Ugo Carabelli #77 def. Ilia Simakin #154

2-6 6-2 7-5

Camilo Ugo Carabelli defeated Ilia Simakin 2-6 6-2 7-5 in the 2026 Shanghai Masters first round on hard courts on October 8, 2026.

Match Information

Match Statistics

StatCamilo Ugo CarabelliIlia Simakin
Serving
AcesServes that land in and are not touched by the returner.
65
Double faultsService points lost by missing both first and second serve.
37
First serve %Percentage of service points where the first serve landed in.
47.0%69.0%
First serve points won %Percentage of points won after making a first serve.
71.0%69.0%
Second serve points won %Percentage of second-serve points won, including points lost through double faults.
47.0%27.0%
Break points saved %Percentage of break points won by the server.
64.0%58.0%
Service points won %Percentage of all points won while serving.
58.0%56.0%
Returning
Break points converted %Percentage of break-point chances won by the returner.
42.0%36.0%
Return points won %Percentage of all points won while returning.
44.0%42.0%
Overall
Total points won %Percentage of all completed points won.
51.0%49.0%
Match Serve+This match’s service points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
-6.5-8.5
Match Return+This match’s return points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+8.5+6.5

* Match Serve+ and Match Return+ compare this match with the ATP 2026 average from available match stats. Zero is average; +5 means five percentage points above average. No opponent adjustment.

Win Probability

How the market's view of each player's chances changed through the match.

Source: Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

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Player Comparison

FieldCamilo Ugo CarabelliIlia Simakin
Country ARG RUS
Birth dateJun 17, 1999Oct 27, 2003
Age2722
Height185 cm193 cm
HandednessRight-HandedRight-Handed
Backhand styleTwo-Handed Backhand—
Ranking (entering)77154
Ranking points (entering)770366
Elo (entering)1,6061,507
Current career W-L38–560–1
Current career earnings$3,064,212$233,618
Pre-match H2H

Path

Camilo Ugo Carabelli's path

No prior matches in this tournament.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli's next match

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Felix Auger-Aliassime #66-4 6-7(1) 5-7LH2HMatch dataOct 10, 2026R64

Ilia Simakin's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Rigele Te 6-3 6-2WH2HMatch dataOct 6, 2026Q2
Luka Pavlovic #2074-6 6-4 6-1WH2HMatch dataOct 5, 2026Q1