R32 Shanghai Masters 2026

Felix Auger-Aliassime #5 def. Pablo Carreno Busta #65

6-3 4-6 6-1

Felix Auger-Aliassime defeated Pablo Carreno Busta 6-3 4-6 6-1 in the 2026 Shanghai Masters third round on hard courts on October 12, 2026.

Match Information

Match Statistics

StatFelix Auger-AliassimePablo Carreno Busta
Serving
AcesServes that land in and are not touched by the returner.
75
Double faultsService points lost by missing both first and second serve.
22
First serve %Percentage of service points where the first serve landed in.
69.0%72.0%
First serve points won %Percentage of points won after making a first serve.
80.0%63.0%
Second serve points won %Percentage of second-serve points won, including points lost through double faults.
59.0%45.0%
Break points saved %Percentage of break points won by the server.
67.0%56.0%
Service points won %Percentage of all points won while serving.
73.0%58.0%
Returning
Break points converted %Percentage of break-point chances won by the returner.
44.0%33.0%
Return points won %Percentage of all points won while returning.
42.0%27.0%
Overall
Total points won %Percentage of all completed points won.
57.0%43.0%
Match Serve+This match’s service points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+8.5-6.5
Match Return+This match’s return points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+6.5-8.5

* Match Serve+ and Match Return+ compare this match with the ATP 2026 average from available match stats. Zero is average; +5 means five percentage points above average. No opponent adjustment.

Win Probability

How the market's view of each player's chances changed through the match.

Source: Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Focus the chart and use the left and right arrow keys to inspect probability updates.

Player Comparison

FieldFelix Auger-AliassimePablo Carreno Busta
Country CAN ESP
Birth dateAug 8, 2000Jul 12, 1991
Age2635
Height193 cm188 cm
HandednessRight-HandedRight-Handed
Backhand styleTwo-Handed BackhandTwo-Handed Backhand
Ranking (entering)565
Ranking points (entering)3,890874
Elo (entering)1,9381,761
Current career W-L286–178286–241
Current career earnings$23,652,623$18,094,300

Path

Felix Auger-Aliassime's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Camilo Ugo Carabelli #774-6 7-6(1) 7-5WH2HMatch dataOct 10, 2026R64

Felix Auger-Aliassime's next match

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Casper Ruud #242-5 (ret.)LH2HMatch dataOct 14, 2026R16

Pablo Carreno Busta's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Alejandro Tabilo #304-6 7-6(2) 6-4WH2HMatch dataOct 10, 2026R64
Mariano Navone #474-6 7-5 6-3WH2HMatch dataOct 8, 2026R128