R16 Almaty Open 2026

Adrian Mannarino #79 def. Andrey Rublev #22

6-4 3-6 6-3

Adrian Mannarino defeated Andrey Rublev 6-4 3-6 6-3 in the 2026 Almaty Open second round on hard courts on October 21, 2026.

Match Information

Match Statistics

StatAdrian MannarinoAndrey Rublev
Serving
AcesServes that land in and are not touched by the returner.
613
Double faultsService points lost by missing both first and second serve.
13
First serve %Percentage of service points where the first serve landed in.
75.0%63.0%
First serve points won %Percentage of points won after making a first serve.
77.0%70.0%
Second serve points won %Percentage of second-serve points won, including points lost through double faults.
40.0%51.0%
Break points saved %Percentage of break points won by the server.
83.0%78.0%
Service points won %Percentage of all points won while serving.
68.0%63.0%
Returning
Break points converted %Percentage of break-point chances won by the returner.
22.0%17.0%
Return points won %Percentage of all points won while returning.
37.0%32.0%
Overall
Total points won %Percentage of all completed points won.
53.0%47.0%
Match Serve+This match’s service points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+3.4-1.6
Match Return+This match’s return points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+1.6-3.4

* Match Serve+ and Match Return+ compare this match with the ATP 2026 average from available match stats. Zero is average; +5 means five percentage points above average. No opponent adjustment.

Win Probability

How the market's view of each player's chances changed through the match.

Source: Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

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Player Comparison

FieldAdrian MannarinoAndrey Rublev
Country FRA RUS
Birth dateJun 29, 1988Oct 20, 1997
Age3829
Height180 cm188 cm
HandednessLeft-HandedRight-Handed
Backhand styleTwo-Handed BackhandTwo-Handed Backhand
Ranking (entering)7922
Ranking points (entering)7432,175
Elo (entering)1,7321,833
Current career W-L326–379382–221
Current career earnings$15,557,787$34,435,634
Pre-match H2H

Path

Adrian Mannarino's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Aleksandar Vukic #1167-6(4) 4-6 6-3WH2HMatch dataOct 19, 2026R32

Adrian Mannarino's next match

No later same-event match found for the winner.

Andrey Rublev's path

No prior matches in this tournament.