Flavio Cobolli #6 def. Brandon Nakashima #17

4-6 6-4 6-4

Flavio Cobolli defeated Brandon Nakashima 4-6 6-4 6-4 in the 2026 Open 13 Provence quarterfinal on hard courts on October 23, 2026.

Match Information

Match Statistics

StatFlavio CobolliBrandon Nakashima
Serving
AcesServes that land in and are not touched by the returner.
313
Double faultsService points lost by missing both first and second serve.
21
First serve %Percentage of service points where the first serve landed in.
61.0%67.0%
First serve points won %Percentage of points won after making a first serve.
79.0%71.0%
Second serve points won %Percentage of second-serve points won, including points lost through double faults.
55.0%35.0%
Break points saved %Percentage of break points won by the server.
60.0%70.0%
Service points won %Percentage of all points won while serving.
69.0%59.0%
Returning
Break points converted %Percentage of break-point chances won by the returner.
30.0%40.0%
Return points won %Percentage of all points won while returning.
41.0%31.0%
Overall
Total points won %Percentage of all completed points won.
53.0%47.0%
Match Serve+This match’s service points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+4.4-5.6
Match Return+This match’s return points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+5.6-4.4

* Match Serve+ and Match Return+ compare this match with the ATP 2026 average from available match stats. Zero is average; +5 means five percentage points above average. No opponent adjustment.

Win Probability

How the market's view of each player's chances changed through the match.

Source: Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Focus the chart and use the left and right arrow keys to inspect probability updates.

Player Comparison

FieldFlavio CobolliBrandon Nakashima
Country ITA USA
Birth dateMay 6, 2002Aug 3, 2001
Age2425
Height183 cm188 cm
HandednessRight-HandedRight-Handed
Backhand styleTwo-Handed BackhandTwo-Handed Backhand
Ranking (entering)617
Ranking points (entering)3,6402,375
Elo (entering)1,8751,905
Current career W-L103–80154–128
Current career earnings$9,761,403$9,435,649
Pre-match H2H

Path

Flavio Cobolli's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Stan Wawrinka #1406-2 6-4WH2HMatch dataOct 22, 2026R16

Flavio Cobolli's next match

No later same-event match found for the winner.

Brandon Nakashima's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Kyrian Jacquet #856-4 6-3WH2HMatch dataOct 22, 2026R16
Hamad Medjedovic #767-6(4) 6-7(4) 6-2WH2HMatch dataOct 20, 2026R32