R32 Australian Open 2026

Lorenzo Musetti #5 def. Tomas Machac #24

5-7 6-4 6-2 5-7 6-2

Lorenzo Musetti defeated Tomas Machac 5-7 6-4 6-2 5-7 6-2 in the 2026 Australian Open third round on hard courts on January 24, 2026.

Match Information

Match Statistics

StatLorenzo MusettiTomas Machac
Serving
AcesServes that land in and are not touched by the returner.
103
Double faultsService points lost by missing both first and second serve.
53
First serve %Percentage of service points where the first serve landed in.
76.0%78.0%
First serve points won %Percentage of points won after making a first serve.
67.0%58.0%
Second serve points won %Percentage of second-serve points won, including points lost through double faults.
45.0%43.0%
Break points saved %Percentage of break points won by the server.
67.0%69.0%
Service points won %Percentage of all points won while serving.
62.0%54.0%
Returning
Break points converted %Percentage of break-point chances won by the returner.
31.0%33.0%
Return points won %Percentage of all points won while returning.
46.0%38.0%
Overall
Total points won %Percentage of all completed points won.
53.0%47.0%
Match Serve+This match’s service points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
-2.4-10.4
Match Return+This match’s return points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+10.3+2.3

* Match Serve+ and Match Return+ compare this match with the ATP 2026 average from available match stats. Zero is average; +5 means five percentage points above average. No opponent adjustment.

Win Probability

How the market's view of each player's chances changed through the match.

Source: Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Focus the chart and use the left and right arrow keys to inspect probability updates.

Player Comparison

FieldLorenzo MusettiTomas Machac
Country ITA CZE
Birth dateMar 3, 2002Oct 13, 2000
Age2325
Height185 cm183 cm
HandednessRight-HandedRight-Handed
Backhand styleOne-Handed BackhandTwo-Handed Backhand
Ranking (entering)524
Ranking points (entering)4,1051,610
Elo (entering)1,9911,901
Current career W-L191–13577–68
Current career earnings$15,610,125$6,817,125
Pre-match H2H
Lorenzo Musetti #5 0 1 Tomas Machac #24

Path

Lorenzo Musetti's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Lorenzo Sonego #406-3 6-3 6-4WH2HMatch dataJan 22, 2026R64
Raphael Collignon #724-6 7-6(3) 7-5 3-2 (ret.)WH2HMatch dataJan 20, 2026R128

Lorenzo Musetti's next match

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Taylor Fritz #96-2 7-5 6-4WH2HMatch dataJan 26, 2026R16

Tomas Machac's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Stefanos Tsitsipas #356-4 3-6 7-6(5) 7-6(5)WH2HMatch dataJan 22, 2026R64
Grigor Dimitrov #456-4 6-4 6-3WH2HMatch dataJan 20, 2026R128