Alexander Bublik #11 def. Lorenzo Musetti #7

7-6(2) 6-3

Alexander Bublik defeated Lorenzo Musetti 7-6(2) 6-3 in the 2026 Hong Kong Open final on hard courts on January 11, 2026.

Match Information

Date: Jan 11, 2026
Tournament: Hong Kong Open
Edition: 2026
Category: ATP 250
Surface: Hard
Round: F
Duration: 1h 39m

Match Statistics

Stat	Alexander Bublik	Lorenzo Musetti
Aces	10	5
Double faults	4	1
First serve %	76	63
First serve points won %	78	63
Second serve points won %	44	56
Break points saved %	67	57
Break points converted %	43	33
Service points won %	70	60
Return points won %	40	30
Total points won %	54	46
Serve rating	294	258
Return rating	151	121

Win Probability

How the market's view of each player's chances changed through the match.

Player Comparison

Field	Alexander Bublik	Lorenzo Musetti
Country	KAZ	ITA
Birth date	Jun 17, 1997	Mar 3, 2002
Age	28	23
Height	196 cm	185 cm
Handedness	Right-Handed	Right-Handed
Backhand style	—	—
Ranking (entering)	11	7
Ranking points (entering)	2,845	3,990
Elo (entering)	1,995	1,989
Current career W-L	204–178	190–134
Current career earnings	$12,658,208	$15,610,125

Pre-match H2H

Alexander Bublik #11 2 – 1 Lorenzo Musetti #7

Path

Alexander Bublik's path

Opponent	Score	W-L	H2H	Match Data	Date	Round
Marcos Giron #64	3-6 6-4 6-2	W	H2H	Match data	Jan 10, 2026	SF
Juncheng Shang #406	6-1 7-6(2)	W	H2H	Match data	Jan 10, 2026	QF
Botic van de Zandschulp #75	6-3 6-3	W	H2H	Match data	Jan 9, 2026	R16

Alexander Bublik's next match

No later same-event match found for the winner.

Lorenzo Musetti's path

Opponent	Score	W-L	H2H	Match Data	Date	Round
Andrey Rublev #16	6-7(3) 7-5 6-4	W	H2H	Match data	Jan 10, 2026	SF
Coleman Wong #150	6-4 6-4	W	H2H	Match data	Jan 10, 2026	QF
Tomas Martin Etcheverry #57	6-7(3) 6-2 6-4	W	H2H	Match data	Jan 9, 2026	R16