Alexander Bublik def. Lorenzo Musetti
7-6(2) 6-3
Alexander Bublik defeated Lorenzo Musetti 7-6(2) 6-3 in the 2026 Hong Kong Open final on hard courts on January 11, 2026.
Match Information
Match Statistics
| Stat | Alexander Bublik | Lorenzo Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Serving | ||
AcesServes that land in and are not touched by the returner. | 10 | 5 |
Double faultsService points lost by missing both first and second serve. | 4 | 1 |
First serve %Percentage of service points where the first serve landed in. | 76.0% | 63.0% |
First serve points won %Percentage of points won after making a first serve. | 78.0% | 63.0% |
Second serve points won %Percentage of second-serve points won, including points lost through double faults. | 44.0% | 56.0% |
Break points saved %Percentage of break points won by the server. | 67.0% | 57.0% |
Service points won %Percentage of all points won while serving. | 70.0% | 60.0% |
| Returning | ||
Break points converted %Percentage of break-point chances won by the returner. | 43.0% | 33.0% |
Return points won %Percentage of all points won while returning. | 40.0% | 30.0% |
| Overall | ||
Total points won %Percentage of all completed points won. | 54.0% | 46.0% |
Match Serve+This match’s service points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment. | +5.6 | -4.4 |
Match Return+This match’s return points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment. | +4.3 | -5.7 |
* Match Serve+ and Match Return+ compare this match with the ATP 2026 average from available match stats. Zero is average; +5 means five percentage points above average. No opponent adjustment.
Win Probability
How the market's view of each player's chances changed through the match.
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Player Comparison
| Field | Alexander Bublik | Lorenzo Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Country | KAZ | ITA |
| Birth date | Jun 17, 1997 | Mar 3, 2002 |
| Age | 28 | 23 |
| Height | 196 cm | 185 cm |
| Handedness | Right-Handed | Right-Handed |
| Backhand style | Two-Handed Backhand | One-Handed Backhand |
| Ranking (entering) | 11 | 7 |
| Ranking points (entering) | 2,845 | 3,990 |
| Elo (entering) | 1,995 | 1,989 |
| Current career W-L | 205–179 | 191–135 |
| Current career earnings | $12,658,208 | $15,610,125 |
Path
Alexander Bublik's path
| Opponent | Score | W-L | H2H | Match Data | Date | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcos Giron | 3-6 6-4 6-2 | W | H2H | Match data | Jan 10, 2026 | SF |
| Juncheng Shang | 6-1 7-6(2) | W | H2H | Match data | Jan 10, 2026 | QF |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | 6-3 6-3 | W | H2H | Match data | Jan 9, 2026 | R16 |
Alexander Bublik's next match
No later same-event match found for the winner.
Lorenzo Musetti's path
| Opponent | Score | W-L | H2H | Match Data | Date | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrey Rublev | 6-7(3) 7-5 6-4 | W | H2H | Match data | Jan 10, 2026 | SF |
| Coleman Wong | 6-4 6-4 | W | H2H | Match data | Jan 10, 2026 | QF |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 6-7(3) 6-2 6-4 | W | H2H | Match data | Jan 9, 2026 | R16 |