R16 Australian Open 2026

Aryna Sabalenka #1 def. Victoria Mboko #16

6-1 7-6(1)

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Victoria Mboko 6-1 7-6(1) in the 2026 Australian Open fourth round on hard courts on January 25, 2026.

Match Information

Match Statistics

StatAryna SabalenkaVictoria Mboko
Serving
AcesServes that land in and are not touched by the returner.
63
Double faultsService points lost by missing both first and second serve.
33
First serve %Percentage of service points where the first serve landed in.
68.0%67.9%
First serve points won %Percentage of points won after making a first serve.
64.1%50.0%
Second serve points won %Percentage of second-serve points won, including points lost through double faults.
52.0%41.2%
Break points saved %Percentage of break points won by the server.
66.7%20.0%
Service points won %Percentage of all points won while serving.
60.3%47.2%
Returning
Break points converted %Percentage of break-point chances won by the returner.
80.0%33.3%
Return points won %Percentage of all points won while returning.
52.8%39.7%
Overall
Total points won %Percentage of all completed points won.
57.2%42.8%
Match Serve+This match’s service points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+3.3-9.8
Match Return+This match’s return points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+9.7-3.3

* Match Serve+ and Match Return+ compare this match with the WTA 2026 average from available match stats. Zero is average; +5 means five percentage points above average. No opponent adjustment.

Win Probability

How the market's view of each player's chances changed through the match.

Source: Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Focus the chart and use the left and right arrow keys to inspect probability updates.

Player Comparison

FieldAryna SabalenkaVictoria Mboko
Country BLR CAN
Birth dateMay 5, 1998Aug 26, 2006
Age2719
Height182 cm175 cm
HandednessRight-HandedRight-Handed
Backhand styleTwo-Handed BackhandTwo-Handed Backhand
Ranking (entering)116
Ranking points (entering)10,9902,447
Elo (entering)2,2551,949
Current career W-L417–14743–20
Current career earnings$53,284,864$3,307,577
Pre-match H2H

Path

Aryna Sabalenka's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Anastasia Potapova #557-6(4) 7-6(7)WH2HMatch dataJan 23, 2026R32
Zhuoxuan Bai 6-3 6-1WH2HMatch dataJan 21, 2026R64
Tiantsoa Rakotomanga Rajaonah 6-4 6-1WH2HMatch dataJan 18, 2026R128

Aryna Sabalenka's next match

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Iva Jovic #276-3 6-0WH2HMatch dataJan 27, 2026QF

Victoria Mboko's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Clara Tauson #147-6(5) 5-7 6-3WH2HMatch dataJan 23, 2026R32
Caty Mcnally #856-4 6-3WH2HMatch dataJan 21, 2026R64
Emerson Jones #1536-4 6-1WH2HMatch dataJan 19, 2026R128