R16 Canadian Open 2026

Diana Shnaider #17 def. Jessica Pegula #3

6-3 6-3

Diana Shnaider defeated Jessica Pegula 6-3 6-3 in the 2026 Canadian Open fourth round on hard courts on August 8, 2026.

Match Information

Match Statistics

StatDiana ShnaiderJessica Pegula
Serving
AcesServes that land in and are not touched by the returner.
23
Double faultsService points lost by missing both first and second serve.
33
First serve %Percentage of service points where the first serve landed in.
65.5%67.9%
First serve points won %Percentage of points won after making a first serve.
72.2%72.2%
Second serve points won %Percentage of second-serve points won, including points lost through double faults.
63.2%35.3%
Break points saved %Percentage of break points won by the server.
75.0%50.0%
Service points won %Percentage of all points won while serving.
69.1%60.4%
Returning
Break points converted %Percentage of break-point chances won by the returner.
50.0%25.0%
Return points won %Percentage of all points won while returning.
39.6%30.9%
Overall
Total points won %Percentage of all completed points won.
54.6%45.4%
Match Serve+This match’s service points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+12.2+3.4
Match Return+This match’s return points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
-3.4-12.2

* Match Serve+ and Match Return+ compare this match with the WTA 2026 average from available match stats. Zero is average; +5 means five percentage points above average. No opponent adjustment.

Win Probability

How the market's view of each player's chances changed through the match.

Source: Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Focus the chart and use the left and right arrow keys to inspect probability updates.

Player Comparison

FieldDiana ShnaiderJessica Pegula
Country RUS USA
Birth dateApr 2, 2004Feb 24, 1994
Age2232
Height170 cm170 cm
HandednessLeft-HandedRight-Handed
Backhand styleTwo-Handed BackhandTwo-Handed Backhand
Ranking (entering)173
Ranking points (entering)2,5936,625
Elo (entering)1,9192,119
Current career W-L115–78304–140
Current career earnings$7,097,135$27,601,104
Pre-match H2H

Path

Diana Shnaider's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Anna Kalinskaya #216-3 6-3WH2HMatch dataAug 6, 2026R32
Rebecca Sramkova #1436-2 4-6 6-1WH2HMatch dataAug 4, 2026R64

Diana Shnaider's next match

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Iga Swiatek #52-6 1-6LH2HMatch dataAug 10, 2026QF

Jessica Pegula's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Kamilla Rakhimova #836-4 6-0WH2HMatch dataAug 6, 2026R32
Magdalena Frech #453-6 6-3 6-2WH2HMatch dataAug 5, 2026R64