Victoria Mboko def. Madison Keys
6-4 4-6 6-2
Victoria Mboko defeated Madison Keys 6-4 4-6 6-2 in the 2026 Adelaide International quarterfinal on hard courts on January 15, 2026.
Match Information
Match Statistics
| Stat | Victoria Mboko | Madison Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Serving | ||
AcesServes that land in and are not touched by the returner. | 4 | 9 |
Double faultsService points lost by missing both first and second serve. | 4 | 4 |
First serve %Percentage of service points where the first serve landed in. | 64.7% | 62.1% |
First serve points won %Percentage of points won after making a first serve. | 60.0% | 61.0% |
Second serve points won %Percentage of second-serve points won, including points lost through double faults. | 53.3% | 41.7% |
Break points saved %Percentage of break points won by the server. | 20.0% | 50.0% |
Service points won %Percentage of all points won while serving. | 57.6% | 53.7% |
| Returning | ||
Break points converted %Percentage of break-point chances won by the returner. | 50.0% | 80.0% |
Return points won %Percentage of all points won while returning. | 46.3% | 42.4% |
| Overall | ||
Total points won %Percentage of all completed points won. | 51.7% | 48.3% |
Match Serve+This match’s service points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment. | +0.7 | -3.2 |
Match Return+This match’s return points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment. | +3.2 | -0.7 |
* Match Serve+ and Match Return+ compare this match with the WTA 2026 average from available match stats. Zero is average; +5 means five percentage points above average. No opponent adjustment.
Win Probability
How the market's view of each player's chances changed through the match.
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Player Comparison
| Field | Victoria Mboko | Madison Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Country | CAN | USA |
| Birth date | Aug 26, 2006 | Feb 17, 1995 |
| Age | 19 | 30 |
| Height | 175 cm | 178 cm |
| Handedness | Right-Handed | Right-Handed |
| Backhand style | Two-Handed Backhand | Two-Handed Backhand |
| Ranking (entering) | 17 | 9 |
| Ranking points (entering) | 2,157 | 4,003 |
| Elo (entering) | 1,910 | 1,989 |
| Current career W-L | 43–20 | 374–217 |
| Current career earnings | $3,307,577 | $25,287,737 |
Path
Victoria Mboko's path
| Opponent | Score | W-L | H2H | Match Data | Date | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anna Kalinskaya | 6-2 3-6 7-6(6) | W | H2H | Match data | Jan 13, 2026 | R16 |
| Beatriz Haddad Maia | 5-7 6-3 6-2 | W | H2H | Match data | Jan 12, 2026 | R32 |
Victoria Mboko's next match
| Opponent | Score | W-L | H2H | Match Data | Date | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kimberly Birrell | 6-2 6-1 | W | H2H | Match data | Jan 16, 2026 | SF |
Madison Keys's path
| Opponent | Score | W-L | H2H | Match Data | Date | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tereza Valentova | 6-4 6-1 | W | H2H | Match data | Jan 14, 2026 | R16 |