R32 China Open 2026

Nikola Bartunkova #34 def. Aryna Sabalenka #2

6-4 6-3

Nikola Bartunkova defeated Aryna Sabalenka 6-4 6-3 in the 2026 China Open third round on hard courts on October 4, 2026.

Match Information

Match Statistics

StatNikola BartunkovaAryna Sabalenka
Serving
AcesServes that land in and are not touched by the returner.
44
Double faultsService points lost by missing both first and second serve.
22
First serve %Percentage of service points where the first serve landed in.
47.5%64.5%
First serve points won %Percentage of points won after making a first serve.
82.8%53.1%
Second serve points won %Percentage of second-serve points won, including points lost through double faults.
56.2%63.0%
Break points saved %Percentage of break points won by the server.
100.0%62.5%
Service points won %Percentage of all points won while serving.
68.8%56.6%
Returning
Break points converted %Percentage of break-point chances won by the returner.
37.5%0.0%
Return points won %Percentage of all points won while returning.
43.4%31.1%
Overall
Total points won %Percentage of all completed points won.
54.7%45.3%
Match Serve+This match’s service points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+11.9-0.4
Match Return+This match’s return points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+0.4-11.9

* Match Serve+ and Match Return+ compare this match with the WTA 2026 average from available match stats. Zero is average; +5 means five percentage points above average. No opponent adjustment.

Win Probability

How the market's view of each player's chances changed through the match.

Source: Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Focus the chart and use the left and right arrow keys to inspect probability updates.

Player Comparison

FieldNikola BartunkovaAryna Sabalenka
Country CZE BLR
Birth dateFeb 25, 2006May 5, 1998
Age2028
Height—182 cm
HandednessRight-HandedRight-Handed
Backhand styleTwo-Handed BackhandTwo-Handed Backhand
Ranking (entering)342
Ranking points (entering)1,3527,810
Elo (entering)1,8462,186
Current career W-L27–18417–146
Current career earnings$1,426,148$53,222,999
Pre-match H2H

Path

Nikola Bartunkova's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Magdalena Frech #486-2 6-2WH2HMatch dataOct 2, 2026R64

Nikola Bartunkova's next match

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Sinja Kraus #956-0 4-6 6-3WH2HMatch dataOct 6, 2026R16

Aryna Sabalenka's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Renata Zarazua #946-1 6-3WH2HMatch dataOct 2, 2026R64