Jessica Pegula #5 def. Jelena Ostapenko #26

4-6 6-3 6-2

Jessica Pegula defeated Jelena Ostapenko 4-6 6-3 6-2 in the 2026 Indian Wells Open third round on hard courts on March 9, 2026.

Match Information

Match Statistics

StatJessica PegulaJelena Ostapenko
Serving
AcesServes that land in and are not touched by the returner.
123
Double faultsService points lost by missing both first and second serve.
13
First serve %Percentage of service points where the first serve landed in.
63.6%57.7%
First serve points won %Percentage of points won after making a first serve.
75.5%64.4%
Second serve points won %Percentage of second-serve points won, including points lost through double faults.
50.0%42.4%
Break points saved %Percentage of break points won by the server.
0.0%50.0%
Service points won %Percentage of all points won while serving.
66.2%55.1%
Returning
Break points converted %Percentage of break-point chances won by the returner.
50.0%100.0%
Return points won %Percentage of all points won while returning.
44.9%33.8%
Overall
Total points won %Percentage of all completed points won.
55.5%44.5%
Match Serve+This match’s service points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+9.3-1.8
Match Return+This match’s return points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+1.8-9.3

* Match Serve+ and Match Return+ compare this match with the WTA 2026 average from available match stats. Zero is average; +5 means five percentage points above average. No opponent adjustment.

Win Probability

How the market's view of each player's chances changed through the match.

Source: Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

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Player Comparison

FieldJessica PegulaJelena Ostapenko
Country USA LAT
Birth dateFeb 24, 1994Jun 8, 1997
Age3228
Height170 cm177 cm
HandednessRight-HandedRight-Handed
Backhand styleTwo-Handed BackhandTwo-Handed Backhand
Ranking (entering)526
Ranking points (entering)6,5831,600
Elo (entering)2,1421,810
Current career W-L304–141299–222
Current career earnings$27,601,104$20,796,198
Pre-match H2H

Path

Jessica Pegula's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Donna Vekic #1034-6 6-2 6-3WH2HMatch dataMar 8, 2026R64

Jessica Pegula's next match

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Belinda Bencic #126-3 7-6(5)WH2HMatch dataMar 11, 2026R16

Jelena Ostapenko's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Katie Volynets #986-4 7-6(5)WH2HMatch dataMar 7, 2026R64