R16 Italian Open 2026

Iga Swiatek #3 def. Naomi Osaka #16

6-2 6-1

Iga Swiatek defeated Naomi Osaka 6-2 6-1 in the 2026 Italian Open fourth round on clay courts on May 11, 2026.

Match Information

Match Statistics

StatIga SwiatekNaomi Osaka
Serving
AcesServes that land in and are not touched by the returner.
32
Double faultsService points lost by missing both first and second serve.
13
First serve %Percentage of service points where the first serve landed in.
67.4%54.1%
First serve points won %Percentage of points won after making a first serve.
67.7%48.5%
Second serve points won %Percentage of second-serve points won, including points lost through double faults.
66.7%32.1%
Break points saved %Percentage of break points won by the server.
66.7%53.8%
Service points won %Percentage of all points won while serving.
67.4%41.0%
Returning
Break points converted %Percentage of break-point chances won by the returner.
46.2%33.3%
Return points won %Percentage of all points won while returning.
59.0%32.6%
Overall
Total points won %Percentage of all completed points won.
62.6%37.4%
Match Serve+This match’s service points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+10.5-15.9
Match Return+This match’s return points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+15.9-10.5

* Match Serve+ and Match Return+ compare this match with the WTA 2026 average from available match stats. Zero is average; +5 means five percentage points above average. No opponent adjustment.

Win Probability

How the market's view of each player's chances changed through the match.

Source: Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Focus the chart and use the left and right arrow keys to inspect probability updates.

Player Comparison

FieldIga SwiatekNaomi Osaka
Country POL JPN
Birth dateMay 31, 2001Oct 16, 1997
Age2428
Height176 cm180 cm
HandednessRight-HandedRight-Handed
Backhand styleTwo-Handed BackhandTwo-Handed Backhand
Ranking (entering)316
Ranking points (entering)6,9482,341
Elo (entering)2,0701,999
Current career W-L347–90252–138
Current career earnings$47,942,729$27,198,526
Pre-match H2H
Iga Swiatek #3 2 – 1 Naomi Osaka #16

Path

Iga Swiatek's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Elisabetta Cocciaretto #416-1 6-0WH2HMatch dataMay 10, 2026R32
Caty Mcnally #636-1 6-7(5) 6-3WH2HMatch dataMay 8, 2026R64

Iga Swiatek's next match

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Jessica Pegula #56-1 6-2WH2HMatch dataMay 13, 2026QF

Naomi Osaka's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Diana Shnaider #206-1 6-2WH2HMatch dataMay 10, 2026R32
Eva Lys #806-4 4-6 6-3WH2HMatch dataMay 8, 2026R64