SF Mexican Open 2026

Flavio Cobolli #20 def. Miomir Kecmanovic #84

7-6(5) 3-6 6-4

Flavio Cobolli defeated Miomir Kecmanovic 7-6(5) 3-6 6-4 in the 2026 Mexican Open semifinal on hard courts on February 28, 2026.

Match Information

Match Statistics

StatFlavio CobolliMiomir Kecmanovic
Serving
AcesServes that land in and are not touched by the returner.
137
Double faultsService points lost by missing both first and second serve.
32
First serve %Percentage of service points where the first serve landed in.
52.0%60.0%
First serve points won %Percentage of points won after making a first serve.
73.0%73.0%
Second serve points won %Percentage of second-serve points won, including points lost through double faults.
50.0%55.0%
Break points saved %Percentage of break points won by the server.
50.0%50.0%
Service points won %Percentage of all points won while serving.
62.0%66.0%
Returning
Break points converted %Percentage of break-point chances won by the returner.
50.0%50.0%
Return points won %Percentage of all points won while returning.
34.0%38.0%
Overall
Total points won %Percentage of all completed points won.
48.0%52.0%
Match Serve+This match’s service points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
-2.5+1.5
Match Return+This match’s return points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
-1.5+2.5

* Match Serve+ and Match Return+ compare this match with the ATP 2026 average from available match stats. Zero is average; +5 means five percentage points above average. No opponent adjustment.

Win Probability

How the market's view of each player's chances changed through the match.

Source: Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Focus the chart and use the left and right arrow keys to inspect probability updates.

Player Comparison

FieldFlavio CobolliMiomir Kecmanovic
Country ITA SRB
Birth dateMay 6, 2002Aug 31, 1999
Age2326
Height183 cm183 cm
HandednessRight-HandedRight-Handed
Backhand styleTwo-Handed BackhandTwo-Handed Backhand
Ranking (entering)2084
Ranking points (entering)2,030685
Elo (entering)1,7931,748
Current career W-L101–80176–193
Current career earnings$9,724,033$9,366,291
Pre-match H2H

Path

Flavio Cobolli's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Yibing Wu #1427-6(4) 6-1WH2HMatch dataFeb 27, 2026QF
Dalibor Svrcina #1236-4 6-4WH2HMatch dataFeb 26, 2026R16
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez #2187-6(3) 7-6(3)WH2HMatch dataFeb 25, 2026R32

Flavio Cobolli's next match

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Frances Tiafoe #287-6(4) 6-4WH2HMatch dataFeb 28, 2026F

Miomir Kecmanovic's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Terence Atmane #636-3 6-3WH2HMatch dataFeb 27, 2026QF
Alexander Zverev #46-3 6-7(3) 7-6(4)WH2HMatch dataFeb 26, 2026R16
Tristan Schoolkate #1086-2 6-2WH2HMatch dataFeb 24, 2026R32