Jannik Sinner #2 def. Daniil Medvedev #11

7-6(6) 7-6(4)

Jannik Sinner defeated Daniil Medvedev 7-6(6) 7-6(4) in the 2026 Indian Wells Open final on hard courts on March 15, 2026.

Match Information

Match Statistics

StatJannik SinnerDaniil Medvedev
Serving
AcesServes that land in and are not touched by the returner.
107
Double faultsService points lost by missing both first and second serve.
22
First serve %Percentage of service points where the first serve landed in.
65.0%56.0%
First serve points won %Percentage of points won after making a first serve.
91.0%77.0%
Second serve points won %Percentage of second-serve points won, including points lost through double faults.
60.0%65.0%
Break points saved %Percentage of break points won by the server.
0.0%100.0%
Service points won %Percentage of all points won while serving.
81.0%72.0%
Returning
Break points converted %Percentage of break-point chances won by the returner.
0.0%0.0%
Return points won %Percentage of all points won while returning.
28.0%19.0%
Overall
Total points won %Percentage of all completed points won.
52.0%48.0%
Match Serve+This match’s service points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+16.5+7.5
Match Return+This match’s return points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
-7.5-16.5

* Match Serve+ and Match Return+ compare this match with the ATP 2026 average from available match stats. Zero is average; +5 means five percentage points above average. No opponent adjustment.

Win Probability

How the market's view of each player's chances changed through the match.

Source: Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Focus the chart and use the left and right arrow keys to inspect probability updates.

Player Comparison

FieldJannik SinnerDaniil Medvedev
Country ITA RUS
Birth dateAug 16, 2001Feb 11, 1996
Age2430
Height191 cm198 cm
HandednessRight-HandedRight-Handed
Backhand styleTwo-Handed BackhandTwo-Handed Backhand
Ranking (entering)211
Ranking points (entering)10,4003,360
Elo (entering)2,3482,079
Current career W-L351–92447–190
Current career earnings$69,543,958$52,943,635
Pre-match H2H

Path

Jannik Sinner's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Alexander Zverev #46-2 6-4WH2HMatch dataMar 14, 2026SF
Learner Tien #276-1 6-2WH2HMatch dataMar 12, 2026QF
Joao Fonseca #357-6(6) 7-6(4)WH2HMatch dataMar 11, 2026R16
Denis Shapovalov #396-3 6-2WH2HMatch dataMar 8, 2026R32
Dalibor Svrcina #1096-1 6-1WH2HMatch dataMar 7, 2026R64

Jannik Sinner's next match

No later same-event match found for the winner.

Daniil Medvedev's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Carlos Alcaraz #16-3 7-6(3)WH2HMatch dataMar 14, 2026SF
Jack Draper #146-1 7-5WH2HMatch dataMar 13, 2026QF
Alex Michelsen #446-2 6-4WH2HMatch dataMar 11, 2026R16
Sebastian Baez #536-4 6-0WH2HMatch dataMar 9, 2026R32
Alejandro Tabilo #406-4 6-2WH2HMatch dataMar 7, 2026R64