R16 Japan Open 2026

Denis Shapovalov #46 def. Alejandro Tabilo #31

7-5 3-6 6-4

Denis Shapovalov defeated Alejandro Tabilo 7-5 3-6 6-4 in the 2026 Japan Open second round on hard courts on October 3, 2026.

Match Information

Match Statistics

StatDenis ShapovalovAlejandro Tabilo
Serving
AcesServes that land in and are not touched by the returner.
113
Double faultsService points lost by missing both first and second serve.
50
First serve %Percentage of service points where the first serve landed in.
59.0%82.0%
First serve points won %Percentage of points won after making a first serve.
70.0%66.0%
Second serve points won %Percentage of second-serve points won, including points lost through double faults.
50.0%44.0%
Break points saved %Percentage of break points won by the server.
25.0%20.0%
Service points won %Percentage of all points won while serving.
62.0%62.0%
Returning
Break points converted %Percentage of break-point chances won by the returner.
80.0%75.0%
Return points won %Percentage of all points won while returning.
38.0%38.0%
Overall
Total points won %Percentage of all completed points won.
50.0%50.0%
Match Serve+This match’s service points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
-2.5-2.5
Match Return+This match’s return points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+2.5+2.5

* Match Serve+ and Match Return+ compare this match with the ATP 2026 average from available match stats. Zero is average; +5 means five percentage points above average. No opponent adjustment.

Win Probability

How the market's view of each player's chances changed through the match.

Source: Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Focus the chart and use the left and right arrow keys to inspect probability updates.

Player Comparison

FieldDenis ShapovalovAlejandro Tabilo
Country CAN CHI
Birth dateApr 15, 1999Jun 2, 1997
Age2729
Height185 cm188 cm
HandednessLeft-HandedLeft-Handed
Backhand styleOne-Handed BackhandTwo-Handed Backhand
Ranking (entering)4631
Ranking points (entering)1,1551,565
Elo (entering)1,7811,820
Current career W-L236–19691–86
Current career earnings$15,811,946$6,527,895
Pre-match H2H

Path

Denis Shapovalov's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Sho Shimabukuro #1087-5 6-1WH2HMatch dataOct 1, 2026R32

Denis Shapovalov's next match

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Carlos Alcaraz #36-7(3) 1-2 (ret.)LH2HMatch dataOct 4, 2026QF

Alejandro Tabilo's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Tommy Paul #166-1 6-2WH2HMatch dataSep 30, 2026R32