QF Japan Open 2026

Carlos Alcaraz #3 def. Denis Shapovalov #46

7-6(3) 2-1 (ret.)

The match ended when Denis Shapovalov retired.

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Denis Shapovalov 7-6(3) 2-1 after Denis Shapovalov retired in the 2026 Japan Open quarterfinal on hard courts on October 4, 2026.

Match Information

Match Statistics

StatCarlos AlcarazDenis Shapovalov
Serving
AcesServes that land in and are not touched by the returner.
01
Double faultsService points lost by missing both first and second serve.
13
First serve %Percentage of service points where the first serve landed in.
67.0%59.0%
First serve points won %Percentage of points won after making a first serve.
56.0%63.0%
Second serve points won %Percentage of second-serve points won, including points lost through double faults.
59.0%26.0%
Break points saved %Percentage of break points won by the server.
25.0%57.0%
Service points won %Percentage of all points won while serving.
57.0%48.0%
Returning
Break points converted %Percentage of break-point chances won by the returner.
43.0%75.0%
Return points won %Percentage of all points won while returning.
52.0%43.0%
Overall
Total points won %Percentage of all completed points won.
55.0%45.0%
Match Serve+This match’s service points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
-7.5-16.5
Match Return+This match’s return points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+16.5+7.5

* Match Serve+ and Match Return+ compare this match with the ATP 2026 average from available match stats. Zero is average; +5 means five percentage points above average. No opponent adjustment.

Win Probability

How the market's view of each player's chances changed through the match.

Source: Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Focus the chart and use the left and right arrow keys to inspect probability updates.

Player Comparison

FieldCarlos AlcarazDenis Shapovalov
Country ESP CAN
Birth dateMay 5, 2003Apr 15, 1999
Age2327
Height183 cm185 cm
HandednessRight-HandedLeft-Handed
Backhand styleTwo-Handed BackhandOne-Handed Backhand
Ranking (entering)346
Ranking points (entering)5,0601,155
Elo (entering)2,3151,799
Current career W-L298–68236–196
Current career earnings$65,605,903$15,811,946
Pre-match H2H

Path

Carlos Alcaraz's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Matteo Arnaldi #377-6(6) 6-1WH2HMatch dataOct 3, 2026R16
Alex Michelsen #347-6(1) 4-6 6-1WH2HMatch dataOct 1, 2026R32

Carlos Alcaraz's next match

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Jaume Munar #495-7 6-3 6-1WH2HMatch dataOct 5, 2026SF

Denis Shapovalov's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Alejandro Tabilo #317-5 3-6 6-4WH2HMatch dataOct 3, 2026R16
Sho Shimabukuro #1087-5 6-1WH2HMatch dataOct 1, 2026R32