R16 Australian Open 2026

Alex de Minaur #6 def. Alexander Bublik #10

6-4 6-1 6-1

Alex de Minaur defeated Alexander Bublik 6-4 6-1 6-1 in the 2026 Australian Open fourth round on hard courts on January 25, 2026.

Match Information

Match Statistics

StatAlex de MinaurAlexander Bublik
Serving
AcesServes that land in and are not touched by the returner.
56
Double faultsService points lost by missing both first and second serve.
14
First serve %Percentage of service points where the first serve landed in.
61.0%67.0%
First serve points won %Percentage of points won after making a first serve.
82.0%52.0%
Second serve points won %Percentage of second-serve points won, including points lost through double faults.
71.0%44.0%
Break points saved %Percentage of break points won by the server.
0.0%45.0%
Service points won %Percentage of all points won while serving.
77.0%49.0%
Returning
Break points converted %Percentage of break-point chances won by the returner.
55.0%0.0%
Return points won %Percentage of all points won while returning.
51.0%23.0%
Overall
Total points won %Percentage of all completed points won.
62.0%38.0%
Match Serve+This match’s service points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+12.6-15.4
Match Return+This match’s return points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+15.3-12.7

* Match Serve+ and Match Return+ compare this match with the ATP 2026 average from available match stats. Zero is average; +5 means five percentage points above average. No opponent adjustment.

Win Probability

How the market's view of each player's chances changed through the match.

Source: Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Focus the chart and use the left and right arrow keys to inspect probability updates.

Player Comparison

FieldAlex de MinaurAlexander Bublik
Country AUS KAZ
Birth dateFeb 17, 1999Jun 17, 1997
Age2628
Height183 cm196 cm
HandednessRight-HandedRight-Handed
Backhand styleTwo-Handed BackhandTwo-Handed Backhand
Ranking (entering)610
Ranking points (entering)4,0803,065
Elo (entering)2,0322,043
Current career W-L305–178205–179
Current career earnings$25,814,375$12,658,208
Pre-match H2H

Path

Alex de Minaur's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Frances Tiafoe #346-3 6-4 7-5WH2HMatch dataJan 23, 2026R32
Hamad Medjedovic #906-7(5) 6-2 6-2 6-1WH2HMatch dataJan 21, 2026R64
Mackenzie McDonald #1136-2 6-2 6-3WH2HMatch dataJan 19, 2026R128

Alex de Minaur's next match

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Carlos Alcaraz #15-7 2-6 1-6LH2HMatch dataJan 27, 2026QF

Alexander Bublik's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Tomas Martin Etcheverry #627-6(4) 7-6(5) 6-4WH2HMatch dataJan 23, 2026R32
Marton Fucsovics #547-5 6-4 7-5WH2HMatch dataJan 21, 2026R64
Jenson Brooksby #486-4 6-4 6-4WH2HMatch dataJan 18, 2026R128