QF Australian Open 2026

Carlos Alcaraz #1 def. Alex de Minaur #6

7-5 6-2 6-1

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Alex de Minaur 7-5 6-2 6-1 in the 2026 Australian Open quarterfinal on hard courts on January 27, 2026.

Match Information

Match Statistics

StatCarlos AlcarazAlex de Minaur
Serving
AcesServes that land in and are not touched by the returner.
51
Double faultsService points lost by missing both first and second serve.
30
First serve %Percentage of service points where the first serve landed in.
60.0%58.0%
First serve points won %Percentage of points won after making a first serve.
76.0%59.0%
Second serve points won %Percentage of second-serve points won, including points lost through double faults.
50.0%36.0%
Break points saved %Percentage of break points won by the server.
71.0%56.0%
Service points won %Percentage of all points won while serving.
65.0%49.0%
Returning
Break points converted %Percentage of break-point chances won by the returner.
44.0%29.0%
Return points won %Percentage of all points won while returning.
51.0%35.0%
Overall
Total points won %Percentage of all completed points won.
58.0%42.0%
Match Serve+This match’s service points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+0.5-15.5
Match Return+This match’s return points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+15.5-0.5

* Match Serve+ and Match Return+ compare this match with the ATP 2026 average from available match stats. Zero is average; +5 means five percentage points above average. No opponent adjustment.

Win Probability

How the market's view of each player's chances changed through the match.

Source: Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Focus the chart and use the left and right arrow keys to inspect probability updates.

Player Comparison

FieldCarlos AlcarazAlex de Minaur
Country ESP AUS
Birth dateMay 5, 2003Feb 17, 1999
Age2226
Height183 cm183 cm
HandednessRight-HandedRight-Handed
Backhand styleTwo-Handed BackhandTwo-Handed Backhand
Ranking (entering)16
Ranking points (entering)12,0504,080
Elo (entering)2,3622,057
Current career W-L299–69312–180
Current career earnings$66,033,826$26,400,187
Pre-match H2H

Path

Carlos Alcaraz's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Tommy Paul #207-6(6) 6-4 7-5WH2HMatch dataJan 25, 2026R16
Corentin Moutet #376-2 6-4 6-1WH2HMatch dataJan 23, 2026R32
Yannick Hanfmann #1027-6(4) 6-3 6-2WH2HMatch dataJan 21, 2026R64
Adam Walton #796-3 7-6(2) 6-2WH2HMatch dataJan 18, 2026R128

Carlos Alcaraz's next match

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Alexander Zverev #36-4 7-6(5) 6-7(3) 6-7(4) 7-5WH2HMatch dataJan 30, 2026SF

Alex de Minaur's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Alexander Bublik #106-4 6-1 6-1WH2HMatch dataJan 25, 2026R16
Frances Tiafoe #346-3 6-4 7-5WH2HMatch dataJan 23, 2026R32
Hamad Medjedovic #906-7(5) 6-2 6-2 6-1WH2HMatch dataJan 21, 2026R64
Mackenzie McDonald #1136-2 6-2 6-3WH2HMatch dataJan 19, 2026R128