R32 Wimbledon 2026

Aryna Sabalenka #1 def. Jelena Ostapenko #31

6-4 6-4

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Jelena Ostapenko 6-4 6-4 in the 2026 Wimbledon third round on grass courts on July 3, 2026.

Match Information

Match Statistics

StatAryna SabalenkaJelena Ostapenko
Serving
AcesServes that land in and are not touched by the returner.
94
Double faultsService points lost by missing both first and second serve.
24
First serve %Percentage of service points where the first serve landed in.
65.5%57.1%
First serve points won %Percentage of points won after making a first serve.
71.0%62.5%
Second serve points won %Percentage of second-serve points won, including points lost through double faults.
50.0%46.7%
Break points saved %Percentage of break points won by the server.
50.0%63.6%
Service points won %Percentage of all points won while serving.
63.8%55.7%
Returning
Break points converted %Percentage of break-point chances won by the returner.
36.4%50.0%
Return points won %Percentage of all points won while returning.
44.3%36.2%
Overall
Total points won %Percentage of all completed points won.
53.1%46.9%
Match Serve+This match’s service points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+6.9-1.2
Match Return+This match’s return points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+1.2-6.9

* Match Serve+ and Match Return+ compare this match with the WTA 2026 average from available match stats. Zero is average; +5 means five percentage points above average. No opponent adjustment.

Win Probability

How the market's view of each player's chances changed through the match.

Source: Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Focus the chart and use the left and right arrow keys to inspect probability updates.

Player Comparison

FieldAryna SabalenkaJelena Ostapenko
Country BLR LAT
Birth dateMay 5, 1998Jun 8, 1997
Age2829
Height182 cm177 cm
HandednessRight-HandedRight-Handed
Backhand styleTwo-Handed BackhandTwo-Handed Backhand
Ranking (entering)131
Ranking points (entering)9,0901,472
Elo (entering)2,2361,871
Current career W-L417–147299–222
Current career earnings$53,284,864$20,796,198
Pre-match H2H

Path

Aryna Sabalenka's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Mccartney Kessler #576-1 7-6(9)WH2HMatch dataJul 1, 2026R64
Teodora Kostovic #1846-2 6-3WH2HMatch dataJun 29, 2026R128

Aryna Sabalenka's next match

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Naomi Osaka #142-6 6-7(2)LH2HMatch dataJul 5, 2026R16

Jelena Ostapenko's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Antonia Ruzic #616-2 6-0WH2HMatch dataJul 1, 2026R64
Harriet Dart #1526-3 3-6 6-4WH2HMatch dataJun 29, 2026R128