Naomi Osaka #16 def. Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva #97

7-5 6-2

Naomi Osaka defeated Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 7-5 6-2 in the 2026 Indian Wells Open second round on hard courts on March 7, 2026.

Match Information

Match Statistics

StatNaomi OsakaVictoria Jimenez Kasintseva
Serving
AcesServes that land in and are not touched by the returner.
41
Double faultsService points lost by missing both first and second serve.
02
First serve %Percentage of service points where the first serve landed in.
60.7%69.3%
First serve points won %Percentage of points won after making a first serve.
70.6%55.8%
Second serve points won %Percentage of second-serve points won, including points lost through double faults.
59.1%34.8%
Break points saved %Percentage of break points won by the server.
50.0%64.3%
Service points won %Percentage of all points won while serving.
66.1%49.3%
Returning
Break points converted %Percentage of break-point chances won by the returner.
35.7%50.0%
Return points won %Percentage of all points won while returning.
50.7%33.9%
Overall
Total points won %Percentage of all completed points won.
57.2%42.8%
Match Serve+This match’s service points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+9.1-7.7
Match Return+This match’s return points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+7.7-9.1

* Match Serve+ and Match Return+ compare this match with the WTA 2026 average from available match stats. Zero is average; +5 means five percentage points above average. No opponent adjustment.

Win Probability

How the market's view of each player's chances changed through the match.

Source: Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

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Player Comparison

FieldNaomi OsakaVictoria Jimenez Kasintseva
Country JPN AND
Birth dateOct 16, 1997Aug 9, 2005
Age2820
Height180 cm180 cm
HandednessRight-HandedLeft-Handed
Backhand styleTwo-Handed Backhand
Ranking (entering)1697
Ranking points (entering)2,324788
Elo (entering)1,9861,688
Current career W-L251–1369–22
Current career earnings$26,612,806$1,176,521
Pre-match H2H

Path

Naomi Osaka's path

No prior matches in this tournament.

Naomi Osaka's next match

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Camila Osorio #616-1 3-6 6-1WH2HMatch dataMar 8, 2026R32

Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Caty Mcnally #686-2 6-7(4) 6-4WH2HMatch dataMar 4, 2026R128
Katie Boulter #642-6 7-5 6-2WH2HMatch dataMar 3, 2026Q2
Lucrezia Stefanini #1384-6 6-4 6-4WH2HMatch dataMar 3, 2026Q1