Jasmine Paolini #7 def. Anastasia Potapova #91

6-7(5) 6-2 6-3

Jasmine Paolini defeated Anastasia Potapova 6-7(5) 6-2 6-3 in the 2026 Indian Wells Open second round on hard courts on March 6, 2026.

Match Information

Match Statistics

StatJasmine PaoliniAnastasia Potapova
Serving
AcesServes that land in and are not touched by the returner.
51
Double faultsService points lost by missing both first and second serve.
16
First serve %Percentage of service points where the first serve landed in.
64.1%54.6%
First serve points won %Percentage of points won after making a first serve.
65.1%61.0%
Second serve points won %Percentage of second-serve points won, including points lost through double faults.
54.0%42.9%
Break points saved %Percentage of break points won by the server.
72.7%58.8%
Service points won %Percentage of all points won while serving.
61.2%52.8%
Returning
Break points converted %Percentage of break-point chances won by the returner.
41.2%27.3%
Return points won %Percentage of all points won while returning.
47.2%38.8%
Overall
Total points won %Percentage of all completed points won.
54.0%46.0%
Match Serve+This match’s service points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+4.2-4.1
Match Return+This match’s return points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+4.1-4.2

* Match Serve+ and Match Return+ compare this match with the WTA 2026 average from available match stats. Zero is average; +5 means five percentage points above average. No opponent adjustment.

Win Probability

How the market's view of each player's chances changed through the match.

Source: Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

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Player Comparison

FieldJasmine PaoliniAnastasia Potapova
Country ITA AUT
Birth dateJan 4, 1996Mar 30, 2001
Age3024
Height163 cm175 cm
HandednessRight-HandedRight-Handed
Backhand styleTwo-Handed BackhandTwo-Handed Backhand
Ranking (entering)791
Ranking points (entering)4,232810
Elo (entering)1,9351,792
Current career W-L179–141168–137
Current career earnings$16,609,904$7,244,312
Pre-match H2H

Path

Jasmine Paolini's path

No prior matches in this tournament.

Jasmine Paolini's next match

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Ajla Tomljanovic #857-5 5-7 6-1WH2HMatch dataMar 8, 2026R32

Anastasia Potapova's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Marina Stakusic #1304-6 6-1 7-5WH2HMatch dataMar 4, 2026R128