Sonay Kartal #54 def. Madison Keys #15

2-6 6-2 6-3

Sonay Kartal defeated Madison Keys 2-6 6-2 6-3 in the 2026 Indian Wells Open third round on hard courts on March 10, 2026.

Match Information

Match Statistics

StatSonay KartalMadison Keys
Serving
AcesServes that land in and are not touched by the returner.
25
Double faultsService points lost by missing both first and second serve.
23
First serve %Percentage of service points where the first serve landed in.
71.3%67.0%
First serve points won %Percentage of points won after making a first serve.
66.1%57.4%
Second serve points won %Percentage of second-serve points won, including points lost through double faults.
56.0%50.0%
Break points saved %Percentage of break points won by the server.
50.0%60.0%
Service points won %Percentage of all points won while serving.
63.2%54.9%
Returning
Break points converted %Percentage of break-point chances won by the returner.
40.0%50.0%
Return points won %Percentage of all points won while returning.
45.1%36.8%
Overall
Total points won %Percentage of all completed points won.
53.9%46.1%
Match Serve+This match’s service points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+6.3-2.0
Match Return+This match’s return points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+2.0-6.3

* Match Serve+ and Match Return+ compare this match with the WTA 2026 average from available match stats. Zero is average; +5 means five percentage points above average. No opponent adjustment.

Win Probability

How the market's view of each player's chances changed through the match.

Source: Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Focus the chart and use the left and right arrow keys to inspect probability updates.

Player Comparison

FieldSonay KartalMadison Keys
Country GBR USA
Birth dateOct 28, 2001Feb 17, 1995
Age2431
Height163 cm178 cm
HandednessRight-HandedRight-Handed
Backhand style—Two-Handed Backhand
Ranking (entering)5415
Ranking points (entering)1,1272,351
Elo (entering)1,8301,980
Current career W-L36–26374–217
Current career earnings$2,042,961$25,287,737
Pre-match H2H
Sonay Kartal #54 0 – 1 Madison Keys #15

Path

Sonay Kartal's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Emma Navarro #256-1 3-6 7-6(2)WH2HMatch dataMar 7, 2026R64
Lanlana Tararudee #1246-4 6-4WH2HMatch dataMar 5, 2026R128

Sonay Kartal's next match

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Elena Rybakina #34-6 3-4 (ret.)LH2HMatch dataMar 11, 2026R16

Madison Keys's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Diane Parry #1116-4 6-3WH2HMatch dataMar 8, 2026R64