Talia Gibson #112 def. Jasmine Paolini #7

7-5 2-6 6-1

Talia Gibson defeated Jasmine Paolini 7-5 2-6 6-1 in the 2026 Indian Wells Open fourth round on hard courts on March 10, 2026.

Match Information

Match Statistics

StatTalia GibsonJasmine Paolini
Serving
AcesServes that land in and are not touched by the returner.
44
Double faultsService points lost by missing both first and second serve.
51
First serve %Percentage of service points where the first serve landed in.
58.1%71.3%
First serve points won %Percentage of points won after making a first serve.
72.0%59.7%
Second serve points won %Percentage of second-serve points won, including points lost through double faults.
44.4%56.0%
Break points saved %Percentage of break points won by the server.
50.0%61.5%
Service points won %Percentage of all points won while serving.
60.5%58.6%
Returning
Break points converted %Percentage of break-point chances won by the returner.
38.5%50.0%
Return points won %Percentage of all points won while returning.
41.4%39.5%
Overall
Total points won %Percentage of all completed points won.
50.9%49.1%
Match Serve+This match’s service points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+3.6+1.7
Match Return+This match’s return points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
-1.7-3.6

* Match Serve+ and Match Return+ compare this match with the WTA 2026 average from available match stats. Zero is average; +5 means five percentage points above average. No opponent adjustment.

Win Probability

How the market's view of each player's chances changed through the match.

Source: Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Focus the chart and use the left and right arrow keys to inspect probability updates.

Player Comparison

FieldTalia GibsonJasmine Paolini
Country AUS ITA
Birth dateJun 18, 2004Jan 4, 1996
Age2130
Height176 cm163 cm
HandednessRight-HandedRight-Handed
Backhand styleTwo-Handed BackhandTwo-Handed Backhand
Ranking (entering)1127
Ranking points (entering)7214,232
Elo (entering)1,6701,955
Current career W-L20–26178–140
Current career earnings$2,081,849$16,609,904
Pre-match H2H
Talia Gibson #112 0 – 0 Jasmine Paolini #7

Path

Talia Gibson's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Clara Tauson #177-6(2) 4-6 6-4WH2HMatch dataMar 8, 2026R32
Ekaterina Alexandrova #116-3 7-5WH2HMatch dataMar 6, 2026R64
Ann Li #416-3 7-5WH2HMatch dataMar 4, 2026R128
Elvina Kalieva #1574-6 7-5 6-3WH2HMatch dataMar 3, 2026Q2
Madison Brengle #3736-0 7-6(6)WH2HMatch dataMar 1, 2026Q1

Talia Gibson's next match

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Linda Noskova #142-6 6-4 2-6LH2HMatch dataMar 12, 2026QF

Jasmine Paolini's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Ajla Tomljanovic #857-5 5-7 6-1WH2HMatch dataMar 8, 2026R32
Anastasia Potapova #916-7(5) 6-2 6-3WH2HMatch dataMar 6, 2026R64