R16 Italian Open 2026

Jessica Pegula #5 def. Anastasia Potapova #38

7-6(6) 6-2

Jessica Pegula defeated Anastasia Potapova 7-6(6) 6-2 in the 2026 Italian Open fourth round on clay courts on May 11, 2026.

Match Information

Match Statistics

StatJessica PegulaAnastasia Potapova
Serving
AcesServes that land in and are not touched by the returner.
32
Double faultsService points lost by missing both first and second serve.
20
First serve %Percentage of service points where the first serve landed in.
68.6%63.8%
First serve points won %Percentage of points won after making a first serve.
68.8%56.8%
Second serve points won %Percentage of second-serve points won, including points lost through double faults.
50.0%40.0%
Break points saved %Percentage of break points won by the server.
50.0%50.0%
Service points won %Percentage of all points won while serving.
62.9%50.7%
Returning
Break points converted %Percentage of break-point chances won by the returner.
50.0%50.0%
Return points won %Percentage of all points won while returning.
49.3%37.1%
Overall
Total points won %Percentage of all completed points won.
56.1%43.9%
Match Serve+This match’s service points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+5.9-6.2
Match Return+This match’s return points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+6.2-5.9

* Match Serve+ and Match Return+ compare this match with the WTA 2026 average from available match stats. Zero is average; +5 means five percentage points above average. No opponent adjustment.

Win Probability

How the market's view of each player's chances changed through the match.

Source: Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Focus the chart and use the left and right arrow keys to inspect probability updates.

Player Comparison

FieldJessica PegulaAnastasia Potapova
Country USA AUT
Birth dateFeb 24, 1994Mar 30, 2001
Age3225
Height170 cm175 cm
HandednessRight-HandedRight-Handed
Backhand styleTwo-Handed BackhandTwo-Handed Backhand
Ranking (entering)538
Ranking points (entering)6,1361,355
Elo (entering)2,1491,932
Current career W-L304–141168–137
Current career earnings$27,601,104$7,244,312
Pre-match H2H

Path

Jessica Pegula's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Rebeka Masarova #1606-0 6-0WH2HMatch dataMay 10, 2026R32
Zeynep Sonmez #656-4 6-0WH2HMatch dataMay 8, 2026R64

Jessica Pegula's next match

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Iga Swiatek #31-6 2-6LH2HMatch dataMay 13, 2026QF

Anastasia Potapova's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Liudmila Samsonova #216-3 6-2WH2HMatch dataMay 10, 2026R32
Karolina Muchova #116-3 6-2WH2HMatch dataMay 8, 2026R64
Dalma Galfi #1195-7 6-2 6-4WH2HMatch dataMay 6, 2026R128
Nikola Bartunkova #944-6 6-4 6-2WH2HMatch dataMay 5, 2026Q2
Irina-Camelia Begu #1846-1 7-5WH2HMatch dataMay 4, 2026Q1