QF Mexican Open 2026

Brandon Nakashima #29 def. Valentin Vacherot #27

2-6 6-2 6-3

Brandon Nakashima defeated Valentin Vacherot 2-6 6-2 6-3 in the 2026 Mexican Open quarterfinal on hard courts on February 27, 2026.

Match Information

Match Statistics

StatBrandon NakashimaValentin Vacherot
Serving
AcesServes that land in and are not touched by the returner.
89
Double faultsService points lost by missing both first and second serve.
11
First serve %Percentage of service points where the first serve landed in.
72.0%69.0%
First serve points won %Percentage of points won after making a first serve.
78.0%72.0%
Second serve points won %Percentage of second-serve points won, including points lost through double faults.
47.0%50.0%
Break points saved %Percentage of break points won by the server.
50.0%57.0%
Service points won %Percentage of all points won while serving.
70.0%65.0%
Returning
Break points converted %Percentage of break-point chances won by the returner.
43.0%50.0%
Return points won %Percentage of all points won while returning.
35.0%30.0%
Overall
Total points won %Percentage of all completed points won.
51.0%49.0%
Match Serve+This match’s service points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+5.5+0.5
Match Return+This match’s return points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
-0.5-5.5

* Match Serve+ and Match Return+ compare this match with the ATP 2026 average from available match stats. Zero is average; +5 means five percentage points above average. No opponent adjustment.

Win Probability

How the market's view of each player's chances changed through the match.

Source: Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Focus the chart and use the left and right arrow keys to inspect probability updates.

Player Comparison

FieldBrandon NakashimaValentin Vacherot
Country USA MON
Birth dateAug 3, 2001Nov 16, 1998
Age2427
Height188 cm193 cm
HandednessRight-HandedRight-Handed
Backhand styleTwo-Handed BackhandTwo-Handed Backhand
Ranking (entering)2927
Ranking points (entering)1,5351,591
Elo (entering)1,8071,837
Current career W-L152–12732–26
Current career earnings$9,373,615$4,097,273
Pre-match H2H

Path

Brandon Nakashima's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Patrick Kypson #1036-4 6-4WH2HMatch dataFeb 25, 2026R16
Elias Ymer #1906-3 6-4WH2HMatch dataFeb 23, 2026R32

Brandon Nakashima's next match

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Frances Tiafoe #286-3 6-7(6) 4-6LH2HMatch dataFeb 28, 2026SF

Valentin Vacherot's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Gael Monfils #1706-3 6-3WH2HMatch dataFeb 26, 2026R16
Coleman Wong #1254-6 6-3 6-2WH2HMatch dataFeb 23, 2026R32