Flavio Cobolli def. Frances Tiafoe
7-6(4) 6-4
Flavio Cobolli defeated Frances Tiafoe 7-6(4) 6-4 in the 2026 Mexican Open final on hard courts on February 28, 2026.
Match Information
Match Statistics
| Stat | Flavio Cobolli | Frances Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Serving | ||
AcesServes that land in and are not touched by the returner. | 9 | 6 |
Double faultsService points lost by missing both first and second serve. | 2 | 1 |
First serve %Percentage of service points where the first serve landed in. | 73.0% | 57.0% |
First serve points won %Percentage of points won after making a first serve. | 79.0% | 73.0% |
Second serve points won %Percentage of second-serve points won, including points lost through double faults. | 47.0% | 44.0% |
Break points saved %Percentage of break points won by the server. | 67.0% | 67.0% |
Service points won %Percentage of all points won while serving. | 70.0% | 61.0% |
| Returning | ||
Break points converted %Percentage of break-point chances won by the returner. | 33.0% | 33.0% |
Return points won %Percentage of all points won while returning. | 39.0% | 30.0% |
| Overall | ||
Total points won %Percentage of all completed points won. | 54.0% | 46.0% |
Match Serve+This match’s service points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment. | +5.6 | -3.4 |
Match Return+This match’s return points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment. | +3.3 | -5.7 |
* Match Serve+ and Match Return+ compare this match with the ATP 2026 average from available match stats. Zero is average; +5 means five percentage points above average. No opponent adjustment.
Win Probability
How the market's view of each player's chances changed through the match.
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Player Comparison
| Field | Flavio Cobolli | Frances Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Country | ITA | USA |
| Birth date | May 6, 2002 | Jan 20, 1998 |
| Age | 23 | 28 |
| Height | 183 cm | 188 cm |
| Handedness | Right-Handed | Right-Handed |
| Backhand style | Two-Handed Backhand | Two-Handed Backhand |
| Ranking (entering) | 20 | 28 |
| Ranking points (entering) | 2,030 | 1,590 |
| Elo (entering) | 1,807 | 1,877 |
| Current career W-L | 101–78 | 266–216 |
| Current career earnings | $9,474,842 | $18,705,046 |
Path
Flavio Cobolli's path
| Opponent | Score | W-L | H2H | Match Data | Date | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miomir Kecmanovic | 7-6(5) 3-6 6-4 | W | H2H | Match data | Feb 28, 2026 | SF |
| Yibing Wu | 7-6(4) 6-1 | W | H2H | Match data | Feb 27, 2026 | QF |
| Dalibor Svrcina | 6-4 6-4 | W | H2H | Match data | Feb 26, 2026 | R16 |
| Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | 7-6(3) 7-6(3) | W | H2H | Match data | Feb 25, 2026 | R32 |
Flavio Cobolli's next match
No later same-event match found for the winner.
Frances Tiafoe's path
| Opponent | Score | W-L | H2H | Match Data | Date | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nakashima | 3-6 7-6(6) 6-4 | W | H2H | Match data | Feb 28, 2026 | SF |
| Mattia Bellucci | 6-3 6-4 | W | H2H | Match data | Feb 26, 2026 | QF |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | 6-4 3-6 7-6(7) | W | H2H | Match data | Feb 25, 2026 | R16 |
| Nuno Borges | 6-4 6-4 | W | H2H | Match data | Feb 24, 2026 | R32 |