Daniil Medvedev #11 def. Carlos Alcaraz #1

6-3 7-6(3)

Daniil Medvedev defeated Carlos Alcaraz 6-3 7-6(3) in the 2026 Indian Wells Open semifinal on hard courts on March 14, 2026.

Match Information

Match Statistics

StatDaniil MedvedevCarlos Alcaraz
Serving
AcesServes that land in and are not touched by the returner.
31
Double faultsService points lost by missing both first and second serve.
02
First serve %Percentage of service points where the first serve landed in.
58.0%62.0%
First serve points won %Percentage of points won after making a first serve.
63.0%68.0%
Second serve points won %Percentage of second-serve points won, including points lost through double faults.
74.0%57.0%
Break points saved %Percentage of break points won by the server.
80.0%0.0%
Service points won %Percentage of all points won while serving.
68.0%63.0%
Returning
Break points converted %Percentage of break-point chances won by the returner.
100.0%20.0%
Return points won %Percentage of all points won while returning.
37.0%32.0%
Overall
Total points won %Percentage of all completed points won.
54.0%46.0%
Match Serve+This match’s service points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+3.6-1.4
Match Return+This match’s return points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+1.3-3.7

* Match Serve+ and Match Return+ compare this match with the ATP 2026 average from available match stats. Zero is average; +5 means five percentage points above average. No opponent adjustment.

Win Probability

How the market's view of each player's chances changed through the match.

Source: Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Focus the chart and use the left and right arrow keys to inspect probability updates.

Player Comparison

FieldDaniil MedvedevCarlos Alcaraz
Country RUS ESP
Birth dateFeb 11, 1996May 5, 2003
Age3022
Height198 cm183 cm
HandednessRight-HandedRight-Handed
Backhand styleTwo-Handed BackhandTwo-Handed Backhand
Ranking (entering)111
Ranking points (entering)3,36013,550
Elo (entering)2,0502,406
Current career W-L436–188293–68
Current career earnings$52,318,447$64,997,598
Pre-match H2H

Path

Daniil Medvedev's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Jack Draper #146-1 7-5WH2HMatch dataMar 13, 2026QF
Alex Michelsen #446-2 6-4WH2HMatch dataMar 11, 2026R16
Sebastian Baez #536-4 6-0WH2HMatch dataMar 9, 2026R32
Alejandro Tabilo #406-4 6-2WH2HMatch dataMar 7, 2026R64

Daniil Medvedev's next match

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Jannik Sinner #26-7(6) 6-7(4)LH2HMatch dataMar 15, 2026F

Carlos Alcaraz's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Cameron Norrie #296-3 6-4WH2HMatch dataMar 13, 2026QF
Casper Ruud #136-1 7-6(2)WH2HMatch dataMar 11, 2026R16
Arthur Rinderknech #286-7(6) 6-3 6-2WH2HMatch dataMar 10, 2026R32
Grigor Dimitrov #426-2 6-3WH2HMatch dataMar 7, 2026R64