Lorenzo Musetti #26 def. Flavio Cobolli #6

4-6 6-2 7-5

Lorenzo Musetti defeated Flavio Cobolli 4-6 6-2 7-5 in the 2026 Open 13 Provence semifinal on hard courts on October 24, 2026.

Match Information

Match Statistics

StatLorenzo MusettiFlavio Cobolli
Serving
AcesServes that land in and are not touched by the returner.
54
Double faultsService points lost by missing both first and second serve.
20
First serve %Percentage of service points where the first serve landed in.
64.0%60.0%
First serve points won %Percentage of points won after making a first serve.
74.0%76.0%
Second serve points won %Percentage of second-serve points won, including points lost through double faults.
54.0%47.0%
Break points saved %Percentage of break points won by the server.
89.0%0.0%
Service points won %Percentage of all points won while serving.
67.0%64.0%
Returning
Break points converted %Percentage of break-point chances won by the returner.
100.0%11.0%
Return points won %Percentage of all points won while returning.
36.0%33.0%
Overall
Total points won %Percentage of all completed points won.
53.0%47.0%
Match Serve+This match’s service points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+2.4-0.6
Match Return+This match’s return points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+0.6-2.4

* Match Serve+ and Match Return+ compare this match with the ATP 2026 average from available match stats. Zero is average; +5 means five percentage points above average. No opponent adjustment.

Win Probability

How the market's view of each player's chances changed through the match.

Source: Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

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Player Comparison

FieldLorenzo MusettiFlavio Cobolli
Country ITA ITA
Birth dateMar 3, 2002May 6, 2002
Age2424
Height185 cm183 cm
HandednessRight-HandedRight-Handed
Backhand styleOne-Handed BackhandTwo-Handed Backhand
Ranking (entering)266
Ranking points (entering)1,8703,640
Elo (entering)1,9221,894
Current career W-L196–136103–81
Current career earnings$15,790,083$9,761,403
Pre-match H2H

Path

Lorenzo Musetti's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Luca Van Assche #487-6(5) 6-7(7) 6-4WH2HMatch dataOct 23, 2026QF
Moise Kouame #1946-4 6-4WH2HMatch dataOct 21, 2026R16
Matteo Arnaldi #366-1 6-4WH2HMatch dataOct 19, 2026R32

Lorenzo Musetti's next match

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Taylor Fritz #146-3 6-4WH2HMatch dataOct 25, 2026F

Flavio Cobolli's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Brandon Nakashima #174-6 6-4 6-4WH2HMatch dataOct 23, 2026QF
Stan Wawrinka #1406-2 6-4WH2HMatch dataOct 22, 2026R16