R16 Berlin Open 2026

Madison Keys #28 def. Karolina Muchova #10

6-4 7-5

Madison Keys defeated Karolina Muchova 6-4 7-5 in the 2026 Berlin Open second round on grass courts on June 18, 2026.

Match Information

Match Statistics

StatMadison KeysKarolina Muchova
Serving
AcesServes that land in and are not touched by the returner.
42
Double faultsService points lost by missing both first and second serve.
04
First serve %Percentage of service points where the first serve landed in.
64.4%68.2%
First serve points won %Percentage of points won after making a first serve.
71.0%74.4%
Second serve points won %Percentage of second-serve points won, including points lost through double faults.
66.7%40.0%
Break points saved %Percentage of break points won by the server.
0.0%25.0%
Service points won %Percentage of all points won while serving.
69.5%63.5%
Returning
Break points converted %Percentage of break-point chances won by the returner.
75.0%100.0%
Return points won %Percentage of all points won while returning.
36.5%30.5%
Overall
Total points won %Percentage of all completed points won.
52.5%47.5%
Match Serve+This match’s service points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+12.6+6.6
Match Return+This match’s return points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
-6.6-12.6

* Match Serve+ and Match Return+ compare this match with the WTA 2026 average from available match stats. Zero is average; +5 means five percentage points above average. No opponent adjustment.

Win Probability

How the market's view of each player's chances changed through the match.

Source: Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Focus the chart and use the left and right arrow keys to inspect probability updates.

Player Comparison

FieldMadison KeysKarolina Muchova
Country USA CZE
Birth dateFeb 17, 1995Aug 21, 1996
Age3129
Height178 cm180 cm
HandednessRight-HandedRight-Handed
Backhand styleTwo-Handed BackhandTwo-Handed Backhand
Ranking (entering)2810
Ranking points (entering)1,6423,388
Elo (entering)1,9792,063
Current career W-L374–217178–90
Current career earnings$25,287,737$15,171,307
Pre-match H2H
Madison Keys #28 3 0 Karolina Muchova #10

Path

Madison Keys's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Xinyu Wang #327-6(3) 6-1WH2HMatch dataJun 16, 2026R32

Madison Keys's next match

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Jessica Pegula #46-7(5) 6-7(8)LH2HMatch dataJun 19, 2026QF

Karolina Muchova's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Shuai Zhang #676-1 6-3WH2HMatch dataJun 16, 2026R32