QF Berlin Open 2026

Jessica Pegula #4 def. Madison Keys #28

7-6(5) 7-6(8)

Jessica Pegula defeated Madison Keys 7-6(5) 7-6(8) in the 2026 Berlin Open quarterfinal on grass courts on June 19, 2026.

Match Information

Match Statistics

StatJessica PegulaMadison Keys
Serving
AcesServes that land in and are not touched by the returner.
510
Double faultsService points lost by missing both first and second serve.
10
First serve %Percentage of service points where the first serve landed in.
62.2%57.7%
First serve points won %Percentage of points won after making a first serve.
71.4%82.2%
Second serve points won %Percentage of second-serve points won, including points lost through double faults.
52.9%51.5%
Break points saved %Percentage of break points won by the server.
71.4%33.3%
Service points won %Percentage of all points won while serving.
64.4%69.2%
Returning
Break points converted %Percentage of break-point chances won by the returner.
66.7%28.6%
Return points won %Percentage of all points won while returning.
30.8%35.6%
Overall
Total points won %Percentage of all completed points won.
48.8%51.2%
Match Serve+This match’s service points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+7.5+12.3
Match Return+This match’s return points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
-12.3-7.5

* Match Serve+ and Match Return+ compare this match with the WTA 2026 average from available match stats. Zero is average; +5 means five percentage points above average. No opponent adjustment.

Win Probability

How the market's view of each player's chances changed through the match.

Source: Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Focus the chart and use the left and right arrow keys to inspect probability updates.

Player Comparison

FieldJessica PegulaMadison Keys
Country USA USA
Birth dateFeb 24, 1994Feb 17, 1995
Age3231
Height170 cm178 cm
HandednessRight-HandedRight-Handed
Backhand styleTwo-Handed BackhandTwo-Handed Backhand
Ranking (entering)428
Ranking points (entering)6,0561,642
Elo (entering)2,1141,999
Current career W-L304–140374–217
Current career earnings$27,601,104$25,287,737
Pre-match H2H
Jessica Pegula #4 2 2 Madison Keys #28

Path

Jessica Pegula's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Katerina Siniakova #346-2 6-4WH2HMatch dataJun 17, 2026R16

Jessica Pegula's next match

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Aryna Sabalenka #16-4 6-7(4) 6-0WH2HMatch dataJun 20, 2026SF

Madison Keys's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Karolina Muchova #106-4 7-5WH2HMatch dataJun 18, 2026R16
Xinyu Wang #327-6(3) 6-1WH2HMatch dataJun 16, 2026R32