SF US Open 2026

Aryna Sabalenka #1 def. Jessica Pegula #3

7-5 6-2

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Jessica Pegula 7-5 6-2 in the 2026 US Open semifinal on hard courts on September 10, 2026.

Match Information

Match Statistics

StatAryna SabalenkaJessica Pegula
Serving
AcesServes that land in and are not touched by the returner.
74
Double faultsService points lost by missing both first and second serve.
30
First serve %Percentage of service points where the first serve landed in.
64.4%68.3%
First serve points won %Percentage of points won after making a first serve.
73.7%78.0%
Second serve points won %Percentage of second-serve points won, including points lost through double faults.
66.7%26.3%
Break points saved %Percentage of break points won by the server.
100.0%62.5%
Service points won %Percentage of all points won while serving.
71.2%61.7%
Returning
Break points converted %Percentage of break-point chances won by the returner.
37.5%0.0%
Return points won %Percentage of all points won while returning.
38.3%28.8%
Overall
Total points won %Percentage of all completed points won.
54.6%45.4%
Match Serve+This match’s service points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+14.2+4.7
Match Return+This match’s return points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
-4.7-14.2

* Match Serve+ and Match Return+ compare this match with the WTA 2026 average from available match stats. Zero is average; +5 means five percentage points above average. No opponent adjustment.

Win Probability

How the market's view of each player's chances changed through the match.

Source: Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Focus the chart and use the left and right arrow keys to inspect probability updates.

Player Comparison

FieldAryna SabalenkaJessica Pegula
Country BLR USA
Birth dateMay 5, 1998Feb 24, 1994
Age2832
Height182 cm170 cm
HandednessRight-HandedRight-Handed
Backhand styleTwo-Handed BackhandTwo-Handed Backhand
Ranking (entering)13
Ranking points (entering)8,5757,265
Elo (entering)2,1882,155
Current career W-L416–144304–140
Current career earnings$50,422,999$26,151,104
Pre-match H2H

Path

Aryna Sabalenka's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Linda Noskova #67-6(1) 3-6 7-6(7)WH2HMatch dataSep 8, 2026QF
Taylor Townsend #966-4 6-3WH2HMatch dataSep 6, 2026R16
Kamilla Rakhimova #926-3 6-4WH2HMatch dataSep 4, 2026R32
Polina Iatcenko #1606-1 6-1WH2HMatch dataSep 2, 2026R64
Camila Osorio #596-2 6-4WH2HMatch dataAug 31, 2026R128

Aryna Sabalenka's next match

No later same-event match found for the winner.

Jessica Pegula's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Emma Navarro #273-6 6-4 6-3WH2HMatch dataSep 9, 2026QF
Sorana Cirstea #176-3 6-4WH2HMatch dataSep 6, 2026R16
Leylah Fernandez #331-6 6-4 6-3WH2HMatch dataSep 4, 2026R32
Sofia Kenin #1106-3 6-1WH2HMatch dataSep 2, 2026R64
Elena-Gabriela Ruse #636-3 6-2WH2HMatch dataAug 30, 2026R128