SF WTA Finals 2025

Jessica Pegula #5 def. Jasmine Paolini #8

6-2 6-3

Jessica Pegula defeated Jasmine Paolini 6-2 6-3 in the 2025 WTA Finals semifinal on hard courts on November 6, 2025.

Match Information

Match Statistics

StatJessica PegulaJasmine Paolini
Serving
AcesServes that land in and are not touched by the returner.
20
Double faultsService points lost by missing both first and second serve.
14
First serve %Percentage of service points where the first serve landed in.
70.7%69.2%
First serve points won %Percentage of points won after making a first serve.
82.8%55.6%
Second serve points won %Percentage of second-serve points won, including points lost through double faults.
75.0%45.0%
Break points saved %Percentage of break points won by the server.
100.0%55.6%
Service points won %Percentage of all points won while serving.
80.5%52.3%
Returning
Break points converted %Percentage of break-point chances won by the returner.
44.4%0.0%
Return points won %Percentage of all points won while returning.
47.7%19.5%
Overall
Total points won %Percentage of all completed points won.
60.4%39.6%
Match Serve+This match’s service points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+23.6-4.5
Match Return+This match’s return points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+4.5-23.6

* Match Serve+ and Match Return+ compare this match with the WTA 2025 average from available match stats. Zero is average; +5 means five percentage points above average. No opponent adjustment.

Win Probability

How the market's view of each player's chances changed through the match.

Source: Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Focus the chart and use the left and right arrow keys to inspect probability updates.

Player Comparison

FieldJessica PegulaJasmine Paolini
Country USA ITA
Birth dateFeb 24, 1994Jan 4, 1996
Age3129
Height170 cm163 cm
HandednessRight-HandedRight-Handed
Backhand styleTwo-Handed BackhandTwo-Handed Backhand
Ranking (entering)58
Ranking points (entering)5,1834,325
Elo (entering)2,0552,018
Current career W-L304–141178–140
Current career earnings$27,601,104$16,609,904
Pre-match H2H

Path

Jessica Pegula's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Coco Gauff #36-3 6-7(4) 6-2WH2HMatch dataNov 2, 2025SF

Jessica Pegula's next match

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Elena Rybakina #66-4 4-6 3-6LH2HMatch dataNov 7, 2025SF

Jasmine Paolini's path

No prior matches in this tournament.