SF WTA Finals 2025

Elena Rybakina #6 def. Jessica Pegula #5

4-6 6-4 6-3

Elena Rybakina defeated Jessica Pegula 4-6 6-4 6-3 in the 2025 WTA Finals semifinal on hard courts on November 7, 2025.

Match Information

Match Statistics

StatElena RybakinaJessica Pegula
Serving
AcesServes that land in and are not touched by the returner.
151
Double faultsService points lost by missing both first and second serve.
51
First serve %Percentage of service points where the first serve landed in.
62.9%68.3%
First serve points won %Percentage of points won after making a first serve.
73.2%59.4%
Second serve points won %Percentage of second-serve points won, including points lost through double faults.
42.4%46.9%
Break points saved %Percentage of break points won by the server.
50.0%54.5%
Service points won %Percentage of all points won while serving.
61.8%55.5%
Returning
Break points converted %Percentage of break-point chances won by the returner.
45.5%50.0%
Return points won %Percentage of all points won while returning.
44.5%38.2%
Overall
Total points won %Percentage of all completed points won.
52.6%47.4%
Match Serve+This match’s service points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+5.0-1.4
Match Return+This match’s return points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment.
+1.4-5.0

* Match Serve+ and Match Return+ compare this match with the WTA 2025 average from available match stats. Zero is average; +5 means five percentage points above average. No opponent adjustment.

Win Probability

How the market's view of each player's chances changed through the match.

Source: Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Focus the chart and use the left and right arrow keys to inspect probability updates.

Player Comparison

FieldElena RybakinaJessica Pegula
Country KAZ USA
Birth dateJun 17, 1999Feb 24, 1994
Age2631
Height184 cm170 cm
HandednessRight-HandedRight-Handed
Backhand styleTwo-Handed BackhandTwo-Handed Backhand
Ranking (entering)65
Ranking points (entering)4,3505,183
Elo (entering)2,1392,069
Current career W-L315–130304–141
Current career earnings$35,354,162$27,601,104
Pre-match H2H

Path

Elena Rybakina's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Amanda Anisimova #46-3 6-1WH2HMatch dataNov 1, 2025QF
Ekaterina Alexandrova #106-4 6-4WH2HMatch dataNov 1, 2025QF
Iga Swiatek #23-6 6-1 6-0WH2HMatch dataNov 1, 2025QF

Elena Rybakina's next match

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Aryna Sabalenka #16-3 7-6(0)WH2HMatch dataNov 8, 2025F

Jessica Pegula's path

OpponentScoreW-LH2HMatch DataDateRound
Jasmine Paolini #86-2 6-3WH2HMatch dataNov 6, 2025SF
Coco Gauff #36-3 6-7(4) 6-2WH2HMatch dataNov 2, 2025SF