Elena Rybakina def. Jasmine Paolini
6-3 6-2
Elena Rybakina defeated Jasmine Paolini 6-3 6-2 in the 2025 Ningbo Open semifinal on hard courts on October 18, 2025.
Match Information
Match Statistics
| Stat | Elena Rybakina | Jasmine Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Serving | ||
AcesServes that land in and are not touched by the returner. | 10 | 0 |
Double faultsService points lost by missing both first and second serve. | 4 | 2 |
First serve %Percentage of service points where the first serve landed in. | 52.5% | 65.2% |
First serve points won %Percentage of points won after making a first serve. | 87.5% | 64.4% |
Second serve points won %Percentage of second-serve points won, including points lost through double faults. | 44.8% | 37.5% |
Break points saved %Percentage of break points won by the server. | 100.0% | 70.0% |
Service points won %Percentage of all points won while serving. | 67.2% | 55.1% |
| Returning | ||
Break points converted %Percentage of break-point chances won by the returner. | 30.0% | 0.0% |
Return points won %Percentage of all points won while returning. | 44.9% | 32.8% |
| Overall | ||
Total points won %Percentage of all completed points won. | 55.4% | 44.6% |
Match Serve+This match’s service points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment. | +10.4 | -1.8 |
Match Return+This match’s return points won percentage minus the tour’s season average, in percentage points. Zero is average; +5 means five points above average. Match-weighted available stats; no opponent adjustment. | +1.8 | -10.4 |
* Match Serve+ and Match Return+ compare this match with the WTA 2025 average from available match stats. Zero is average; +5 means five percentage points above average. No opponent adjustment.
Win Probability
How the market's view of each player's chances changed through the match.
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Player Comparison
| Field | Elena Rybakina | Jasmine Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Country | KAZ | ITA |
| Birth date | Jun 17, 1999 | Jan 4, 1996 |
| Age | 26 | 29 |
| Height | 184 cm | 163 cm |
| Handedness | Right-Handed | Right-Handed |
| Backhand style | Two-Handed Backhand | Two-Handed Backhand |
| Ranking (entering) | 9 | 8 |
| Ranking points (entering) | 4,113 | 4,331 |
| Elo (entering) | 2,051 | 2,056 |
| Current career W-L | 319–130 | 179–142 |
| Current career earnings | $35,539,662 | $16,709,849 |
Path
Elena Rybakina's path
| Opponent | Score | W-L | H2H | Match Data | Date | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ajla Tomljanovic | 6-2 6-0 | W | H2H | Match data | Oct 17, 2025 | QF |
| Dayana Yastremska | 6-4 6-7(6) 6-3 | W | H2H | Match data | Oct 16, 2025 | R16 |
Elena Rybakina's next match
| Opponent | Score | W-L | H2H | Match Data | Date | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | 3-6 6-0 6-2 | W | H2H | Match data | Oct 19, 2025 | F |
Jasmine Paolini's path
| Opponent | Score | W-L | H2H | Match Data | Date | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belinda Bencic | 5-7 7-5 6-3 | W | H2H | Match data | Oct 17, 2025 | QF |
| Veronika Kudermetova | 6-2 7-5 | W | H2H | Match data | Oct 16, 2025 | R16 |